Paul vs Vallejo 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: T. Paul 74% · A. Vallejo 26%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 30% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 5,180 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.0out · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Tommy Paul | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 1 |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 52% | First serves in | 56% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 52% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 25% |
| 6/10 | Break points converted | 2/5 |
| 6/8 | Service games held | 2/8 |
| 64% | Service points won | 40% |
| 60% | Return points won | 36% |
| 60 | Total points won | 37 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Paul | Tour | A. Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 67% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 34% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.31 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/27 | 8/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 86 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tommy Paul
- 30/09/26LAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP Tokyo · R321:6 2:6
- 06/09/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP US Open · R164:6 3:6 4:6
- 04/09/26WAlexander Bublik#22ATP US Open · R326:4 3:6 6:7 6:1 6:3
- 02/09/26WDino Prizmic#97ATP US Open · R646:2 6:3 5:7 6:4
- 30/08/26WColeman Wong#101ATP US Open · R1286:7 6:1 6:3 6:3
- 20/08/26LFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Cincinnati · QF6:2 3:6 4:6
- 19/08/26WAlexander Zverev#2ATP Cincinnati · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 18/08/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#52ATP Cincinnati · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 15/08/26WHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Cincinnati · R646:4 6:7 6:3
- 08/08/26LLearner Tien#17ATP Montreal · R323:6 2:6
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
- 08/10/26WValentin Royer#105ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 6:1
- 04/10/26LJiří Lehečka#16ATP Tokyo · QF1:6 1:6
- 03/10/26WMatteo Berrettini#46ATP Tokyo · R167:6 6:1
- 01/10/26WRafael Jodar#13ATP Tokyo · R326:1 6:3
- 29/09/26WJaime Faria#60ATP Tokyo · Q26:4 5:7 7:5
- 28/09/26WTaro Daniel#177ATP Tokyo · Q16:3 6:2
- 26/09/26LColeman Wong#101ATP Hangzhou · R166:7 6:4 3:6
- 24/09/26WJie Cui#420ATP Hangzhou · R326:1 6:7 6:4
- 01/09/26LGael Monfils#254ATP US Open · R1286:2 1:6 2:6 0:6
- 25/08/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 0:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Paul | A. Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1264% | 11–761% |
| Clay | 11–473% | 50–1676% |
| Grass | 6–275% | 0–20% |
Head to head
T. Paul 2–0 A. Vallejo
- 18/08/26Winner: Tommy Paul3:6 6:3 6:4
- 02/04/26Winner: Tommy Paul3:6 6:4 6:4
Road through the tournament
Tommy Paul
First match in this tournament.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
- 08/10/26WValentin Royer#105ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 6:1