Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Pereira vs Martin Tiffon 2:0: result and our tips

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Tiago PereiraATP #339Elo 1531clay 1516
2:0final6:3 6:4
Pol Martin TiffonATP #215Elo 1739clay 1720

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Pereira 18 of 20, Martin Tiffon 9 of 20 (tour average 52%); Pereira: 6 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: Martin TiffonLost60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Pereira lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Martin Tiffon won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Pereira 15 of 20, Martin Tiffon 7 of 20 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tiago Pereira38%
Pol Martin Tiffon62%

Elo: T. Pereira 24% · P. Martin Tiffon 76%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Pereira21%
2:1 T. Pereira16%
2:1 P. Martin Tiffon22%
2:0 P. Martin Tiffon41%

First set

Tiago Pereira40%
Pol Martin Tiffon60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.564%36%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.551%49%47%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,725 matches

Games handicap

Pol Martin Tiffon −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tiago PereiraPol Martin Tiffon
1Aces1
2Double faults6
56%First serves in54%
79%First-serve points won64%
50%Second-serve points won45%
4/10Break points converted1/2
8/9Service games held6/10
66%Service points won55%
45%Return points won34%
69Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. PereiraTourP. Martin Tiffon
Service points won59%62%62%
Return points won37%38%40%
Service games held70%76%77%
Breaks of serve22%24%26%
Aces per service game0.270.31
Double faults per game0.160.29
Sets with a tie-break16%12%
Tie-breaks won6/1510/15
Wins in straight sets23%69%
Matches in the sample3956

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tiago Pereira

  • 01/10/26LHugo Grenier#269Challenger Porto 2 · R166:7 3:6
  • 29/09/26WOtto Virtanen#107Challenger Porto 2 · R326:4 2:6 6:3
  • 20/09/26LPavlos TsitsipasChallenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:6 5:7 6:7
  • 15/09/26LFilip Pieczonka#905Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 4:6 5:7
  • 14/09/26WRudolf Molleker#535Challenger Szczecin · Q22:6 6:4 7:6
  • 13/09/26WImanol Lopez Morillo#668Challenger Szczecin · Q14:6 6:3 7:6
  • 10/09/26LGenaro Alberto Olivieri#287Challenger Seville · R161:6 3:6
  • 08/09/26WMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Seville · R326:4 4:6 6:4
  • 07/09/26LPavel Lagutin#410Challenger Seville · Q24:6 7:5 0:6
  • 06/09/26WThiago Cigarran#622Challenger Seville · Q16:3 2:6 7:6

Pol Martin Tiffon

Elo over the last year

Tiago PereiraPol Martin Tiffon

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. PereiraP. Martin Tiffon
Hard court5–1131%12–571%
Clay8–1436%19–1851%
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also