Challenger CaliChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Pereira vs McCormick 2:0: result and our tips

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Jose PereiraATP #742Elo 1470clay 1479
2:0final6:1 6:4
Tristan McCormickATP #656Elo 1370clay 1405

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jose Pereira46%
Tristan McCormick54%

Elo: J. Pereira 61% · T. McCormick 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Pereira27%
2:1 J. Pereira19%
2:1 T. McCormick20%
2:0 T. McCormick35%

First set

Jose Pereira46%
Tristan McCormick54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 47%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%36%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.551%49%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,577 matches

Games handicap

Tristan McCormick −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Jose PereiraTristan McCormick
6Aces5
2Double faults11
80%First serves in44%
73%First-serve points won83%
36%Second-serve points won24%
4/5Break points converted1/3
8/9Service games held4/8
66%Service points won50%
50%Return points won35%
62Total points won45

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. PereiraTourT. McCormick
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held75%76%78%
Breaks of serve27%24%19%
Aces per service game0.240.54
Double faults per game0.140.25
Sets with a tie-break9%27%
Tie-breaks won1/45/7
Wins in straight sets67%75%
Matches in the sample2011

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jose Pereira

  • 06/10/26LLautaro Midon#189Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 6:4 0:6
  • 05/10/26WMateus Alves#399Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 6:3
  • 04/10/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#669Challenger Antofagasta · Q17:6 6:3
  • 29/09/26LMateus Alves#399Challenger Curitiba · R322:6 6:1 4:6
  • 28/09/26WRyan Dickerson#697Challenger Curitiba · Q26:7 7:5 6:1
  • 27/09/26WRafael Tosetto#861Challenger Curitiba · Q16:4 3:6 6:3
  • 05/05/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#519Challenger Santos · R326:7 2:6
  • 07/04/26LLautaro Midon#189Challenger Campinas · R324:6 6:3 4:6
  • 06/04/26WNatan Rodrigues#927Challenger Campinas · Q26:4 6:0
  • 05/04/26WWilson Leite#689Challenger Campinas · Q16:4 6:2

Tristan McCormick

  • 09/07/26LFacundo Mena#198Challenger Bogota · R167:5 4:6 4:6
  • 07/07/26WPedro Sakamoto#518Challenger Bogota · R327:6
  • 16/02/26LStefan Kozlov#278Challenger Metepec · R323:6 7:6 4:6
  • 10/02/26LRobert Strombachs#346Challenger Baton Rouge · R326:7 4:6
  • 02/02/26LJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Cleveland · Q27:6 2:6 2:6
  • 01/02/26WDragos Nicolae Cazacu#715Challenger Cleveland · Q16:1 7:6
  • 26/11/25LJuan Pablo Ficovich#369Challenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · R161:6 6:3 3:6
  • 24/11/25WSalvador PriceChallenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · R326:4 6:2
  • 18/11/25LLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#332Challenger Guayaquil · R322:6 5:7
  • 13/11/25LLiam Draxl#197Challenger Drummondville · R167:6 6:7 3:6

Elo over the last year

Jose PereiraTristan McCormick

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. PereiraT. McCormick
Hard court0–02–433%
Clay9–1145%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.