Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets
Pereira vs Midon 1:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Jose Pereira11%
Lautaro Midon89%
Elo: J. Pereira 18% · L. Midon 82%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Pereira6%
2:1 J. Pereira6%
2:1 L. Midon18%
2:0 L. Midon70%
First set
Jose Pereira18%
Lautaro Midon82%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 61%market (no margin): 52%
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 75% | 25% | 91% |
| 16.5 | 65% | 35% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 55% | 45% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 47% | 53% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 39% | 61% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 34% | 66% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 29% | 71% | 47% |
Sample: 1,469 matches
Games handicap
Lautaro Midon −5.555%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes14%
tour average 28%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 19.5out · 25 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Jose Pereira | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 10 |
| 4 | Double faults | 4 |
| 67% | First serves in | 51% |
| 62% | First-serve points won | 69% |
| 24% | Second-serve points won | 51% |
| 3/4 | Break points converted | 6/16 |
| 6/12 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 49% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 51% |
| 65 | Total points won | 81 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Pereira | Tour | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.13 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/4 | 10/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | 20 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jose Pereira
- 05/10/26WMateus Alves#385Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 6:3
- 04/10/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#703Challenger Antofagasta · Q17:6 6:3
- 29/09/26LMateus Alves#385Challenger Curitiba · R322:6 6:1 4:6
- 28/09/26WRyan Dickerson#682Challenger Curitiba · Q26:7 7:5 6:1
- 27/09/26WRafael Tosetto#863Challenger Curitiba · Q16:4 3:6 6:3
- 05/05/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#533Challenger Santos · R326:7 2:6
- 07/04/26LLautaro Midon#206Challenger Campinas · R324:6 6:3 4:6
- 06/04/26WNatan Rodrigues#871Challenger Campinas · Q26:4 6:0
- 05/04/26WWilson Leite#689Challenger Campinas · Q16:4 6:2
- 29/03/26LNicolas Zanellato#660Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Q16:4 4:6 5:7
Lautaro Midon
- 02/10/26LGustavo Heide#116Challenger Curitiba · QF2:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WBruno Fernandez#567Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 7:5
- 29/09/26WMatias Soto#252Challenger Curitiba · R326:3 6:3
- 24/08/26LKyrian Jacquet#76ATP US Open · Q14:6 3:6
- 20/08/26LClement Chidekh#146Challenger Kingston · QF1:6 3:6
- 19/08/26WIgor Marcondes#274Challenger Kingston · R166:7 6:3
- 17/08/26WDan Martin#646Challenger Kingston · R326:3 5:7 6:4
- 16/07/26LAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP Bastad · R164:6 7:6 4:6
- 14/07/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#69ATP Bastad · R323:6 6:4 6:2
- 13/07/26WIgor Marcondes#274ATP Bastad · Q27:6 7:5
Elo over the last year
Jose PereiraLautaro Midon
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Pereira | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 6–367% |
| Clay | 9–1145% | 31–2160% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
J. Pereira 0–1 L. Midon
- 07/04/26Winner: Lautaro Midon4:6 6:3 4:6
Road through the tournament
Jose Pereira
- 04/10/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#703Challenger Antofagasta · Q17:6 6:3
- 05/10/26WMateus Alves#385Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 6:3
Lautaro Midon
First match in this tournament.