Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Pieczonka vs Loffhagen 1:2: result and our tips

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Filip PieczonkaATP #905Elo 1559hard 1498
1:2final3:6 6:3 1:6
George LoffhagenATP #374Elo 1733hard 1741

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: LoffhagenWon74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Loffhagen: 6 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 21.5Lost55%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Loffhagen: 7 matches in a row under 21.5 games

  • Match Winner: LoffhagenWon80%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 80%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Loffhagen: 6 wins in a row

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Filip Pieczonka19%
George Loffhagen81%

Elo: F. Pieczonka 20% · G. Loffhagen 80%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Pieczonka10%
2:1 F. Pieczonka9%
2:1 G. Loffhagen21%
2:0 G. Loffhagen60%

First set

Filip Pieczonka26%
George Loffhagen75%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%79%
18.569%31%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.533%67%37%

Sample: 2,801 matches

Games handicap

George Loffhagen −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Filip PieczonkaGeorge Loffhagen
5Aces9
3Double faults2
55%First serves in71%
67%First-serve points won74%
50%Second-serve points won63%
2/2Break points converted4/9
8/12Service games held11/13
59%Service points won71%
29%Return points won41%
64Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. PieczonkaTourG. Loffhagen
Service points won60%62%65%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held72%76%82%
Breaks of serve24%24%21%
Aces per service game0.430.59
Double faults per game0.500.26
Sets with a tie-break11%18%
Tie-breaks won2/46/10
Wins in straight sets57%77%
Matches in the sample1526

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filip Pieczonka

  • 05/10/26LOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Braga · Q22:6 6:4 0:6
  • 04/10/26WAdrian Oetzbach#554Challenger Braga · Q16:4 6:3
  • 17/09/26LMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Szczecin · R167:6 5:7 4:6
  • 15/09/26WTiago Pereira#339Challenger Szczecin · R325:7 6:4 7:5
  • 14/09/26WNikita Mashtakov#513Challenger Szczecin · Q26:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#335Challenger Szczecin · Q17:5 6:3
  • 04/08/26LHarold Mayot#186Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R322:6 2:6
  • 15/06/26LAlexander Donski#531Challenger Poznan · Q13:6 4:6
  • 17/03/26LFelix Gill#222Challenger Murcia · R323:6 6:3 6:7
  • 16/03/26WDenis Yevseyev#469Challenger Murcia · Q27:6 0:6 6:3

George Loffhagen

  • 29/08/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Roehampton 2 · F7:5 6:3
  • 28/08/26WMichele Ribecai#282Challenger Roehampton 2 · SF6:2 6:2
  • 27/08/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Roehampton 2 · QF6:3 6:4
  • 26/08/26WIvan Ivanov#494Challenger Roehampton 2 · R166:3 6:0
  • 25/08/26WAlastair Gray#292Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:2 7:6
  • 11/05/26LDominic Stricker#263Challenger Zagreb · Q21:4
  • 10/05/26WSebastian Sorger#381Challenger Zagreb · Q16:2 7:6
  • 27/04/26LTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Ostrava · R323:6 2:6
  • 30/03/26LJurij Rodionov#140ATP Bucharest · Q16:4 6:7 2:6
  • 24/03/26LAlexander Vasilev#611Challenger Split · R325:7 4:6

Elo over the last year

Filip PieczonkaGeorge Loffhagen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. PieczonkaG. Loffhagen
Hard court1–420%12–957%
Clay6–460%1–420%

Head to head

They have not met yet.