Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Pieri vs Krumich 0:2: result and our tips

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Samuele PieriATP #320Elo 1683clay 1680
0:2final0:6 4:6
Martin KrumichATP #257Elo 1674clay 1666

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Samuele Pieri37%
Martin Krumich63%

Elo: S. Pieri 52% · M. Krumich 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Pieri21%
2:1 S. Pieri16%
2:1 M. Krumich23%
2:0 M. Krumich41%

First set

Samuele Pieri40%
Martin Krumich60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%69%
19.563%37%60%
20.557%43%53%
21.551%49%48%
22.544%56%41%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 4,656 matches

Games handicap

Martin Krumich −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Samuele PieriMartin Krumich
1Aces5
0Double faults6
52%First serves in55%
54%First-serve points won96%
33%Second-serve points won43%
1/3Break points converted5/6
3/8Service games held7/8
44%Service points won72%
28%Return points won56%
35Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. PieriTourM. Krumich
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held75%76%76%
Breaks of serve25%24%30%
Aces per service game0.230.38
Double faults per game0.170.23
Sets with a tie-break11%11%
Tie-breaks won6/119/18
Wins in straight sets59%61%
Matches in the sample4270

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Samuele Pieri

Martin Krumich

  • 02/10/26LM. W. Donald#418Challenger Bari · QF6:4 1:6 3:6
  • 01/10/26WPierluigi Basile#521Challenger Bari · R166:3 6:1
  • 29/09/26WImanol Lopez Morillo#668Challenger Bari · R326:1 4:2
  • 16/09/26LTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Szczecin · R163:6 4:6
  • 14/09/26WKacper KnitterChallenger Szczecin · R326:2 6:2
  • 09/09/26LZdenek Kolar#196Challenger Tulln · R162:6 4:6
  • 07/09/26WSebastian Sorger#381Challenger Tulln · R323:6 6:4 6:3
  • 01/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#136Challenger Como · R323:6 4:6
  • 27/08/26LSandro Kopp#316Challenger Augsburg · QF2:6 4:6
  • 26/08/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#572Challenger Augsburg · R164:6 6:4 6:1

Elo over the last year

Samuele PieriMartin Krumich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. PieriM. Krumich
Hard court0–08–562%
Clay22–2052%33–2458%

Head to head

S. Pieri 0–1 M. Krumich

  • 07/07/26Winner: Martin Krumich5:7 6:4 3:6