WTA 125 RoveretoRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Pigato vs Avdeeva 2:0: result and our tips

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Lisa PigatoWTA #109Elo 1680hard 1692
2:0final6:4 6:4
Julia AvdeevaWTA #194Elo 1439hard 1455

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: PigatoWon62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pigato: 5 matches in a row winning the first set; Pigato won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Avdeeva lost the first set in 6 of the last 8 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: PigatoWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Pigato: 5 wins in a row; Avdeeva lost 6 of the last 8 matches

  • Total Games: Under 21.5Won57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Pigato 12 of 20, Avdeeva 7 of 8 (tour average 59%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lisa Pigato69%
Julia Avdeeva31%

Elo: L. Pigato 80% · J. Avdeeva 20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Pigato46%
2:1 L. Pigato21%
2:1 J. Avdeeva14%
2:0 J. Avdeeva20%

First set

Lisa Pigato63%
Julia Avdeeva38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.566%34%60%
19.557%43%53%
20.550%51%46%
21.543%57%41%
22.539%61%36%
23.536%65%33%

Sample: 1,963 matches

Games handicap

Lisa Pigato −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lisa PigatoJulia Avdeeva
0Aces3
1Double faults9
86%First serves in71%
63%First-serve points won60%
60%Second-serve points won35%
4/7Break points converted2/8
8/10Service games held6/10
63%Service points won53%
48%Return points won38%
73Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. PigatoTourJ. Avdeeva
Service points won56%56%56%
Return points won46%44%41%
Service games held64%63%59%
Breaks of serve40%37%33%
Aces per service game0.120.34
Double faults per game0.360.51
Sets with a tie-break7%12%
Tie-breaks won3/51/2
Wins in straight sets47%100%
Matches in the sample298

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lisa Pigato

  • 20/09/26WGabriela Knutson#163WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · F6:4 6:2
  • 19/09/26WJeline Vandromme#123WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · SF6:3 7:5
  • 18/09/26WSusan Bandecchi#137WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · QF6:4 1:6 6:4
  • 16/09/26WKajsa Rinaldo Persson#247WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:2 2:6 6:4
  • 14/09/26WSana GarakaniWTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R326:0 6:1
  • 24/08/26LLinda Klimovičová#219WTA US Open · Q13:6 3:6
  • 09/07/26LAurora Zantedeschi#292WTA 125 Contrexeville · R162:6 5:5
  • 07/07/26WAngela Fita Boluda#226WTA 125 Contrexeville · R326:1 1:6 7:6
  • 23/06/26LNoma Noha Akugue#126WTA Wimbledon · Q16:7 3:6
  • 08/06/26LKatarzyna Kawa#127WTA 125 Modena · R324:6 4:6

Julia Avdeeva

Elo over the last year

Lisa PigatoJulia Avdeeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. PigatoJ. Avdeeva
Hard court5–271%1–233%
Clay12–957%1–325%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also