WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Pohankova vs Wang 2:1: result and our tips

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Mia PohankovaWTA #202Elo 1768hard 1772
2:1final7:6(2) 6:7(7) 6:1
Xiyu WangWTA #91Elo 1824hard 1782

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Pohankova 15 of 20, Wang 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Pohankova 9 of 20, Wang 10 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mia Pohankova30%
Xiyu Wang70%

Elo: M. Pohankova 49% · X. Wang 51%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Pohankova17%
2:1 M. Pohankova14%
2:1 X. Wang21%
2:0 X. Wang47%

First set

Mia Pohankova34%
Xiyu Wang66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,933 matches

Games handicap

Xiyu Wang −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mia PohankovaXiyu Wang
7Aces1
2Double faults3
69%First serves in80%
75%First-serve points won71%
54%Second-serve points won40%
3/6Break points converted1/6
15/16Service games held12/15
69%Service points won64%
36%Return points won31%
112Total points won98

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. PohankovaTourX. Wang
Service points won57%56%56%
Return points won44%44%49%
Service games held67%63%66%
Breaks of serve36%37%48%
Aces per service game0.390.11
Double faults per game0.290.22
Sets with a tie-break9%10%
Tie-breaks won3/41/7
Wins in straight sets92%77%
Matches in the sample2133

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mia Pohankova

Xiyu Wang

Elo over the last year

Mia PohankovaXiyu Wang

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. PohankovaX. Wang
Hard court10–471%8–657%
Clay0–20%13–476%
Grass2–340%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mia Pohankova

Xiyu Wang

See also