Popko vs Rapagnetta 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Popko 63% · D. Rapagnetta 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,891 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 21.5out · 23 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Dmitry Popko | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 4 |
| 2 | Double faults | 1 |
| 54% | First serves in | 62% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 54% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 33% |
| 7/13 | Break points converted | 4/10 |
| 7/11 | Service games held | 5/12 |
| 54% | Service points won | 46% |
| 54% | Return points won | 46% |
| 84 | Total points won | 72 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Popko | Tour | D. Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.33 | 0.22 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.27 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 4% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/2 | 1/1 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 83% | |
| Matches in the sample | 10 | 12 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dmitry Popko
- 07/07/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#240Challenger Bogota · R323:6 6:4 5:7
- 06/07/26WCristian Felipe Sanchez RojasChallenger Bogota · Q26:2 6:1
- 05/07/26WMateo CastanedaChallenger Bogota · Q16:1 6:1
- 29/06/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#204Challenger Quito · R322:6 6:4 4:6
- 19/04/26LKilian Feldbausch#261Challenger Savannah · Q14:6 6:4 6:7
- 14/04/26LCannon Kingsley#547Challenger Tallahassee · R323:6 6:3 5:7
- 20/01/26LKimmer Coppejans#222Challenger Soma Bay · R326:1 3:6 2:6
- 13/01/26LMackenzie McDonald#229ATP Australian Open · Q17:6 4:6 5:7
- 25/11/25LKarl Poling#452Challenger Bogota (Los Lagartos) · R326:3 1:4
- 17/11/25LMateus Alves#399Challenger Florianopolis · R320:2
Daniele Rapagnetta
- 04/10/26LDaniel Siniakov#496Challenger Palermo · Q16:1 5:7 2:6
- 09/08/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#371Challenger Todi · Q14:6 6:2 4:6
- 02/08/26LGeorge Lazarov#721Challenger Plovdiv 2 · Q13:6 0:6
- 02/07/26LFacundo Diaz Acosta#71Challenger Milan · R162:6 1:6
- 30/06/26WMichele Ribecai#288Challenger Milan · R327:6 6:4
- 29/06/26WFausto Tabacco#459Challenger Milan · Q26:2 6:1
- 28/06/26WVadym Ursu#400Challenger Milan · Q16:2 6:1
- 25/05/26LTomasz Berkieta#645Challenger Kosice · Q26:4 3:6 2:6
- 24/05/26WImanol Lopez Morillo#661Challenger Kosice · Q16:4 6:3
- 05/05/26LMax Schoenhaus#302Challenger Francavilla · R323:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Popko | D. Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–20% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 2–625% | 6–650% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.