Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets
Potenza vs Dalla Valle 0:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Luca Potenza20%
Enrico Dalla Valle80%
Elo: L. Potenza 25% · E. Dalla Valle 75%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Potenza11%
2:1 L. Potenza10%
2:1 E. Dalla Valle23%
2:0 E. Dalla Valle57%
First set
Luca Potenza27%
Enrico Dalla Valle73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 77% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 69% |
| 19.5 | 55% | 45% | 60% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 52% | 53% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 48% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 41% |
| 23.5 | 33% | 67% | 37% |
Sample: 2,393 matches
Games handicap
Enrico Dalla Valle −4.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 28%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 21.0in · 19 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Luca Potenza | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 5 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 74% | First serves in | 57% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 75% |
| 21% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 2/3 | Break points converted | 5/7 |
| 4/9 | Service games held | 8/10 |
| 48% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 52% |
| 46 | Total points won | 64 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Potenza | Tour | E. Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.12 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/14 | 14/33 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 30 | 76 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luca Potenza
- 30/09/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Porto 2 · R323:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WLui Maxted#394Challenger Porto 2 · Q26:2 4:2
- 27/09/26WIvan Marrero Curbelo#370Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:3
- 20/09/26LMoez Echargui#356Challenger Saint Tropez · Q17:6 4:6 3:6
- 13/09/26LFinn BassChallenger Rennes · Q16:4 6:7 4:6
- 05/09/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Manacor · SF6:2 6:7 6:7
- 04/09/26WEdas Butvilas#199Challenger Manacor · QF4:6 7:5 7:6
- 03/09/26WJoel Schwaerzler#176Challenger Manacor · R166:2 6:2
- 02/09/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Manacor · R327:5 2:6 7:5
- 01/09/26WCarl Emil Overbeck#295Challenger Manacor · Q26:3 6:3
Enrico Dalla Valle
- 02/10/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#382Challenger Bari · QF1:6 2:6
- 30/09/26WZsombor Piros#114Challenger Bari · R166:4 6:2
- 28/09/26WBuvaysar Gadamauri#271Challenger Bari · R322:6 6:3 6:2
- 22/09/26LTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Genoa 2 · R324:6 6:7
- 15/09/26LPavel Lagutin#410Challenger Biella · R326:3 6:7 3:6
- 11/09/26LMatej Dodig#174Challenger Genoa · QF7:6 2:6 6:7
- 10/09/26WStefano Travaglia#173Challenger Genoa · R166:7 6:1 6:4
- 08/09/26WGabriele Crivellaro#995Challenger Genoa · R326:2 6:1
- 02/09/26LOriol Roca Batalla#312Challenger Porto · R166:7 2:6
- 01/09/26WNiels McDonald#491Challenger Porto · R326:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Luca PotenzaEnrico Dalla Valle
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Potenza | E. Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–947% | 6–460% |
| Clay | 6–746% | 41–2562% |
Head to head
L. Potenza 0–1 E. Dalla Valle
- 18/05/26Winner: Enrico Dalla Valle6:7 4:6