Poullain vs Brouwer 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Brouwer lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Poullain 65% · G. Brouwer 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 36% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 58% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 33% | 67% | 37% |
Sample: 3,262 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 20.5in · 15 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Lucas Poullain | Gijs Brouwer | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 1 |
| 4 | Double faults | 3 |
| 61% | First serves in | 76% |
| 82% | First-serve points won | 54% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 27% |
| 4/8 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 8/8 | Service games held | 3/7 |
| 72% | Service points won | 48% |
| 52% | Return points won | 28% |
| 57 | Total points won | 35 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Poullain | Tour | G. Brouwer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 57% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.11 | 0.40 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/9 | 2/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 15 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lucas Poullain
- 02/10/26LJoel Schwaerzler#176Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF4:6 1:6
- 30/09/26WRemy Bertola#227Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R163:6 7:5 6:3
- 29/09/26WMark Lajal#149Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R327:6 5:7 6:3
- 16/09/26LClement Chidekh#146Challenger Rennes · R163:6 4:6
- 14/09/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Rennes · R327:5 6:4
- 07/09/26LMoez Echargui#356Challenger Cassis · R324:6 2:6
- 22/08/26LOliver Tarvet#307Challenger Roehampton · F3:6 2:6
- 21/08/26WLui Maxted#394Challenger Roehampton · SF6:3 6:2
- 20/08/26WMichael Geerts#345Challenger Roehampton · QF6:7 6:3 7:5
- 19/08/26WDurasovic#465Challenger Roehampton · R166:4 6:2
Gijs Brouwer
- 13/09/26LYanis Ghazouani Durand#509Challenger Rennes · Q13:6 6:2 4:6
- 09/09/26LTitouan Droguet#72Challenger Cassis · R162:6 6:7
- 07/09/26WMatteo Martineau#272Challenger Cassis · R326:2 3:6 7:6
- 25/08/26LAndres Martin#338Challenger Kingston 2 · R327:5 6:7 0:6
- 08/08/26LLucas Poullain#322Challenger Istanbul 2 · SF1:6 0:6
- 07/08/26WKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Istanbul 2 · QF6:4 1:6 6:2
- 06/08/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Istanbul 2 · R164:1
- 04/08/26WManas Dhamne#402Challenger Istanbul 2 · R324:6 6:0 6:4
- 12/07/26LTsung-Hao Huang#788Challenger Bunschoten · Q12:6 1:6
- 22/06/26LDaniel Michalski#256Challenger Plovdiv · R322:6 0:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Poullain | G. Brouwer | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–1068% | 5–550% |
| Clay | 3–350% | 1–420% |
Head to head
L. Poullain 1–0 G. Brouwer
- 08/08/26Winner: Lucas Poullain6:1 6:0