Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Purcell vs Peliwo 0:2: result and our tips

·

Max PurcellATP #685Elo 1819hard 1784
0:2final6:7(5) 1:6
Filip PeliwoATP #661Elo 1501hard 1503

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Max Purcell94%
Filip Peliwo6%

Elo: M. Purcell 84% · F. Peliwo 17%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Purcell78%
2:1 M. Purcell15%
2:1 F. Peliwo3%
2:0 F. Peliwo4%

First set

Max Purcell86%
Filip Peliwo14%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes18%
no82%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 49%market (no margin): 48%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.582%18%94%
16.573%28%89%
17.562%38%81%
18.551%49%72%
19.542%59%64%
20.534%66%56%
21.529%71%51%

Sample: 1,209 matches

Games handicap

Max Purcell −5.557%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 34%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Max PurcellFilip Peliwo
8Aces3
1Double faults1
65%First serves in68%
74%First-serve points won73%
47%Second-serve points won74%
0/1Break points converted2/2
7/9Service games held10/10
65%Service points won73%
27%Return points won35%
51Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. PurcellTourF. Peliwo
Service points won65%62%58%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held81%76%68%
Breaks of serve27%24%20%
Aces per service game0.640.33
Double faults per game0.210.23
Sets with a tie-break4%14%
Tie-breaks won0/15/8
Wins in straight sets86%63%
Matches in the sample1025

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Max Purcell

  • 04/10/26WJulien de CuyperChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:4
  • 12/09/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · SF3:6 6:2 2:6
  • 11/09/26WCruz Hewitt#331Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF7:5 6:3
  • 09/09/26WBlake Ellis#462Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:4 6:4
  • 08/09/26WRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#266Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:3 6:4
  • 27/08/26LAndres Andrade#203Challenger Kingston 2 · QF3:6 3:6
  • 26/08/26WGarrett Johns#441Challenger Kingston 2 · R166:2 6:2
  • 24/08/26WIgor Marcondes#274Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:4 6:2
  • 19/08/26LHarold Mayot#186Challenger Kingston · R166:3 3:6 4:6
  • 17/08/26WBlaise Bicknell#421Challenger Kingston · R326:4 6:7 6:3

Filip Peliwo

  • 28/09/26LMattia Bellucci#86Challenger Jingshan · Q12:6 4:6
  • 17/09/26LMoise Kouame#201Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R161:6 2:4
  • 15/09/26WTai Leonard Sach#510Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 6:3 6:4
  • 14/09/26WSam Ryan Ziegann#852Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:1 6:4
  • 13/09/26WArjun RathiChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:3 6:4
  • 11/09/26LArthur Weber#409Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF6:7 2:6
  • 10/09/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#450Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R167:6 6:3
  • 08/09/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:1 4:6 7:6
  • 31/08/26LOmar Jasika#422Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q22:6 3:6
  • 30/08/26WSheng TangChallenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:3 7:6

Elo over the last year

Max PurcellFilip Peliwo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. PurcellF. Peliwo
Hard court7–370%8–1633%
Clay0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Max Purcell

  • 04/10/26WJulien de CuyperChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:4

Filip Peliwo

First match in this tournament.