Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Purtseladze vs Sultanov 0:2: result and our tips

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Saba PurtseladzeATP #575Elo 1456hard 1456
0:2final4:6 6:7(6)
Khumoyun SultanovATP #431Elo 1600hard 1597

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: SultanovWon61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Purtseladze lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Sultanov won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Purtseladze 15 of 20, Sultanov 16 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Sultanov 2-0Won43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Purtseladze lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Sultanov won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Saba Purtseladze34%
Khumoyun Sultanov66%

Elo: S. Purtseladze 31% · K. Sultanov 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Purtseladze20%
2:1 S. Purtseladze15%
2:1 K. Sultanov22%
2:0 K. Sultanov43%

First set

Saba Purtseladze39%
Khumoyun Sultanov61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,391 matches

Games handicap

Khumoyun Sultanov −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Saba PurtseladzeKhumoyun Sultanov
19Aces12
7Double faults0
53%First serves in59%
85%First-serve points won95%
44%Second-serve points won58%
0/0Break points converted1/9
10/11Service games held11/11
66%Service points won79%
21%Return points won34%
63Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. PurtseladzeTourK. Sultanov
Service points won58%62%65%
Return points won37%38%40%
Service games held69%76%82%
Breaks of serve23%24%27%
Aces per service game0.550.56
Double faults per game0.540.21
Sets with a tie-break11%13%
Tie-breaks won1/83/6
Wins in straight sets78%86%
Matches in the sample3321

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Saba Purtseladze

  • 18/10/26WMasamichi Imamura#427Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:1 6:2
  • 20/09/26LAdrian Andreev#601Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:4 0:6 2:3
  • 13/09/26LJohan Nikles#407Challenger Szczecin · Q12:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#409Challenger Seville · Q12:6 6:3 1:6
  • 14/08/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Hamburg · QF2:2
  • 13/08/26WMax Hans Rehberg#262Challenger Hamburg · R166:1 5:7 7:5
  • 11/08/26WFryderyk Łechno-Wasiutyński#784Challenger Hamburg · R326:4 7:5
  • 10/08/26LDenis Yevseyev#470Challenger Hamburg · Q25:7 5:7
  • 09/08/26WRichard AntoniChallenger Hamburg · Q16:1 6:4
  • 04/08/26LMert Alkaya#311Challenger Istanbul 2 · R326:7 4:6

Khumoyun Sultanov

  • 18/10/26WXiaoyin YangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:1 6:4
  • 15/09/26LHunter Heck#595Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R323:6 2:6
  • 08/09/26LEnzo Aguiard#435Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:2 3:6 6:7
  • 03/09/26LEnzo Aguiard#435Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:7 4:6
  • 01/09/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Zhangjiagang · R327:5 6:0
  • 31/08/26WJoshua Charlton#827Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q23:6 6:3 6:4
  • 30/08/26WFumin JiangChallenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:4 6:3
  • 15/08/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Astana · SF6:3 3:6 4:6
  • 14/08/26WMert Alkaya#311Challenger Astana · QF7:6 6:3
  • 12/08/26WLucio Ratti#370Challenger Astana · R166:4 7:5

Elo over the last year

Saba PurtseladzeKhumoyun Sultanov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. PurtseladzeK. Sultanov
Hard court4–931%12–667%
Clay5–1525%2–167%

Head to head

S. Purtseladze 1–1 K. Sultanov

  • 21/07/25Winner: Saba Purtseladze4:6 6:4 6:3
  • 15/07/25Winner: Khumoyun Sultanov6:3 6:7 6:7

Road through the tournament

Saba Purtseladze

Khumoyun Sultanov