Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Raquillet vs Boitan 2:1: result and our tips

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Leo RaquilletATP #710Elo 1355hard 1359
2:1final4:6 6:4 6:4
Gabi Adrian BoitanATP #517Elo 1555hard 1550

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: BoitanWon68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Raquillet lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Boitan won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Boitan: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: BoitanLost74%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 74%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Raquillet lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 39%

Boitan: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Leo Raquillet26%
Gabi Adrian Boitan74%

Elo: L. Raquillet 25% · G. Boitan 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Raquillet15%
2:1 L. Raquillet11%
2:1 G. Boitan22%
2:0 G. Boitan52%

First set

Leo Raquillet32%
Gabi Adrian Boitan68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.552%48%54%
21.546%54%49%
22.539%61%42%
23.535%65%37%

Sample: 3,956 matches

Games handicap

Gabi Adrian Boitan −3.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Leo RaquilletGabi Adrian Boitan
2Aces6
2Double faults2
70%First serves in66%
71%First-serve points won69%
48%Second-serve points won45%
4/8Break points converted3/11
12/15Service games held11/15
64%Service points won61%
39%Return points won36%
96Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. RaquilletTourG. Boitan
Service points won55%62%63%
Return points won40%38%37%
Service games held60%76%78%
Breaks of serve29%24%20%
Aces per service game0.220.40
Double faults per game0.260.42
Sets with a tie-break4%11%
Tie-breaks won0/26/8
Wins in straight sets33%75%
Matches in the sample2329

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leo Raquillet

  • 15/09/26LYanis Ghazouani Durand#509Challenger Rennes · R321:6 4:6
  • 07/09/26LYanis Ghazouani Durand#509Challenger Cassis · Q21:6 3:6
  • 06/09/26WMatteo Covato#742Challenger Cassis · Q16:2 6:2
  • 17/08/26LBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Sion · Q23:6 6:2 5:7
  • 16/08/26WAdrien BerrutChallenger Sion · Q14:6 6:3 6:0
  • 02/08/26LOskari Paldanius#787Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q16:3 0:6 5:7
  • 26/07/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#313Challenger Liberec · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
  • 12/07/26LJan Kumstat#191Challenger Bunschoten · Q16:7 4:6
  • 07/07/26LLorenzo Giustino#216Challenger Liege · R323:6 6:4 2:6
  • 06/07/26WFranco Ribero#711Challenger Liege · Q23:6 6:4 6:3

Gabi Adrian Boitan

  • 20/09/26LVadym Ursu#405Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:3 6:7 1:6
  • 09/09/26LHarold Mayot#186Challenger Istanbul 3 · R167:6 3:6 2:6
  • 08/09/26WAlex Hernandez#484Challenger Istanbul 3 · R327:6 6:4
  • 07/09/26WErgi Kirkin#656Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:3 6:4
  • 06/09/26WZiya Ayberk AydinChallenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:1 6:0
  • 01/09/26LMark Lajal#149Challenger Manacor · Q24:6 1:6
  • 31/08/26WLui Maxted#394Challenger Manacor · Q16:1 6:1
  • 25/08/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:3 3:6 3:6
  • 20/08/26LLui Maxted#394Challenger Roehampton · QF5:7 4:6
  • 19/08/26WAlastair Gray#292Challenger Roehampton · R164:6 6:3 6:2

Elo over the last year

Leo RaquilletGabi Adrian Boitan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. RaquilletG. Boitan
Hard court1–713%8–850%
Clay5–1033%4–931%

Head to head

They have not met yet.