Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Rehberg vs Rottgering 0:2: result and our tips

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Max Hans RehbergATP #262Elo 1695hard 1701
0:2final2:6 1:6
Mees RottgeringATP #331Elo 1786hard 1764

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No tie-break in recent matches: Rehberg 14 of 20, Rottgering 18 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rottgering: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rottgering: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Rehberg: 5 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Max Hans Rehberg44%
Mees Rottgering56%

Elo: M. Rehberg 41% · M. Rottgering 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Rehberg26%
2:1 M. Rehberg17%
2:1 M. Rottgering21%
2:0 M. Rottgering36%

First set

Max Hans Rehberg45%
Mees Rottgering55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,698 matches

Games handicap

Mees Rottgering −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Max Hans RehbergMees Rottgering
3Aces6
2Double faults2
65%First serves in68%
57%First-serve points won84%
30%Second-serve points won58%
0/0Break points converted5/11
3/8Service games held7/7
47%Service points won76%
24%Return points won53%
36Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RehbergTourM. Rottgering
Service points won65%62%62%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held83%76%78%
Breaks of serve26%24%28%
Aces per service game0.280.36
Double faults per game0.180.29
Sets with a tie-break16%9%
Tie-breaks won7/183/5
Wins in straight sets75%80%
Matches in the sample4825

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Max Hans Rehberg

Mees Rottgering

Elo over the last year

Max Hans RehbergMees Rottgering

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RehbergM. Rottgering
Hard court11–473%14–864%
Clay17–1652%0–0
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.