Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Ribecai vs Sanchez Martinez 2:1: result and our tips

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Michele RibecaiATP #282Elo 1593clay 1566
2:1final5:7 7:5 6:0
Benito Sanchez MartinezATP #906Elo 1650clay 1654

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Michele Ribecai60%
Benito Sanchez Martinez40%

Elo: M. Ribecai 38% · B. Sanchez Martinez 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Ribecai38%
2:1 M. Ribecai23%
2:1 B. Sanchez Martinez17%
2:0 B. Sanchez Martinez23%

First set

Michele Ribecai58%
Benito Sanchez Martinez42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%69%
19.564%36%60%
20.557%43%53%
21.551%49%48%
22.545%55%41%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 4,823 matches

Games handicap

Michele Ribecai −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Michele RibecaiBenito Sanchez Martinez
3Aces2
1Double faults2
71%First serves in67%
62%First-serve points won58%
52%Second-serve points won30%
8/16Break points converted5/9
10/15Service games held7/15
59%Service points won49%
51%Return points won41%
96Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RibecaiTourB. Sanchez Martinez
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held73%76%80%
Breaks of serve31%24%27%
Aces per service game0.150.30
Double faults per game0.210.24
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won7/150/2
Wins in straight sets76%100%
Matches in the sample649

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michele Ribecai

Benito Sanchez Martinez

  • 29/09/26LGianluca Cadenasso#220Challenger Bari · R323:6 1:6
  • 28/08/26LFacundo Mena#197Challenger Augsburg · SF6:4 4:6 6:7
  • 27/08/26WHynek Barton#288Challenger Augsburg · QF6:4 6:3
  • 26/08/26WJuan Estevez#360Challenger Augsburg · R166:3 6:4
  • 25/08/26WMurkel Dellien#407Challenger Augsburg · R326:2 6:4
  • 24/08/26WDominik Recek#819Challenger Augsburg · Q26:4 6:3
  • 23/08/26WAlec Beckley#598Challenger Augsburg · Q16:2 6:2
  • 07/07/26LMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Braunschweig · R326:0 3:6 6:7
  • 13/06/26LRoberto Bautista Agut#243ATP Halle · Q15:7 2:6
  • 21/08/25LZdenek Kolar#196Challenger Augsburg · QF1:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Michele RibecaiBenito Sanchez Martinez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RibecaiB. Sanchez Martinez
Hard court17–1553%0–0
Clay16–1650%5–363%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.