Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Ribecai vs Vasami 1:1: result and our tips

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Michele RibecaiATP #288Elo 1607clay 1589
1:1retired4:6 6:0 4:2
Jacopo VasamiATP #385Elo 1728clay 1716

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.561%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Vasami: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 25.566%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Vasami: 8 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Michele Ribecai58%
Jacopo Vasami42%

Elo: M. Ribecai 33% · J. Vasami 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Ribecai37%
2:1 M. Ribecai21%
2:1 J. Vasami18%
2:0 J. Vasami24%

First set

Michele Ribecai57%
Jacopo Vasami43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%68%
19.564%36%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.551%49%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,862 matches

Games handicap

Michele Ribecai −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

Match stats

Michele RibecaiJacopo Vasami
1Aces3
0Double faults4
78%First serves in51%
68%First-serve points won57%
43%Second-serve points won36%
6/11Break points converted3/8
8/11Service games held5/11
63%Service points won47%
53%Return points won38%
79Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. RibecaiTourJ. Vasami
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won41%38%36%
Service games held74%76%77%
Breaks of serve31%24%19%
Aces per service game0.160.42
Double faults per game0.190.32
Sets with a tie-break10%20%
Tie-breaks won6/159/13
Wins in straight sets73%67%
Matches in the sample6529

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michele Ribecai

Jacopo Vasami

Elo over the last year

Michele RibecaiJacopo Vasami

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. RibecaiJ. Vasami
Hard court15–1452%1–325%
Clay18–1850%14–1156%

Head to head

They have not met yet.