Rice vs Jong 1:2: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Rice 9 of 12, Jong 9 of 10 (tour average 54%); Jong: 8 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Rice 7 of 12, Jong 5 of 10 (tour average 37%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Rice 52% · S. Jong 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,163 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 21.5in · 30 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Keegan Rice | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 5 |
| 6 | Double faults | 4 |
| 66% | First serves in | 52% |
| 59% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 41% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 4/11 | Break points converted | 5/12 |
| 10/15 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 53% | Service points won | 58% |
| 42% | Return points won | 47% |
| 103 | Total points won | 112 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Rice | Tour | S. Jong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 68% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.30 | 0.65 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 29% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/6 | 3/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 12 | 10 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Keegan Rice
- 01/08/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#39ATP Montreal · Q13:6 4:6
- 31/07/26LMark Lajal#150Challenger Vancouver · SF3:6 2:6
- 30/07/26WDaniel Milavsky#319Challenger Vancouver · QF1:6 6:1 7:6
- 29/07/26WHarry Wendelken#213Challenger Vancouver · R166:2 2:6 7:5
- 29/07/26WPablo Llamas Ruiz#139Challenger Vancouver · R326:4 3:6 6:4
- 22/07/26LRio Noguchi#215Challenger Winnipeg · R166:3 4:6 0:6
- 21/07/26WNicolas ArseneaultChallenger Winnipeg · R326:3 7:6
- 17/07/26LArthur Gea#44Challenger Granby · R164:6 2:6
- 14/07/26WAlexander Rozin#983Challenger Granby · R327:6 7:6
- 14/11/25LDan Martin#652Challenger Drummondville · R167:6 5:7 3:6
Sander Jong
- 13/07/26LMika Petkovic#424Challenger Bunschoten · Q26:7 3:6
- 12/07/26WMaxime Chazal#418Challenger Bunschoten · Q13:6 7:6 6:4
- 07/06/26LJames McCabe#247ATP S-Hertogenbosch · Q26:7 4:6
- 06/06/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129ATP S-Hertogenbosch · Q14:6 6:3 6:4
- 02/06/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#287Challenger Bad Rappenau · R324:6 6:1 4:6
- 01/06/26WLasse PoertnerChallenger Bad Rappenau · Q26:3 7:5
- 31/05/26WMatteo Martineau#243Challenger Bad Rappenau · Q13:6 7:6 7:6
- 22/10/25LJustin Engel#428Challenger Hamburg · R326:7 6:7
- 20/10/25WNiklas Guttau#767Challenger Hamburg · Q26:2 6:1
- 19/10/25WDaniel Masur#367Challenger Hamburg · Q17:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Rice | S. Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–650% | 2–167% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 3–260% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–150% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.