Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Roca Batalla vs Passaro 0:2: result and our tips

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Oriol Roca BatallaATP #312Elo 1690clay 1688
0:2finalrebuilt1:6 6:7(4)
Francesco PassaroATP #229Elo 1736clay 1710

Our tips

rebuilt

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Passaro 2-0Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Passaro won 2-0 in 2 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oriol Roca Batalla40%
Francesco Passaro61%

Elo: O. Roca Batalla 47% · F. Passaro 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Roca Batalla22%
2:1 O. Roca Batalla17%
2:1 F. Passaro22%
2:0 F. Passaro39%

First set

Oriol Roca Batalla41%
Francesco Passaro59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%59%
20.560%40%52%
21.554%46%47%
22.548%52%40%
23.542%58%36%
24.540%60%34%
25.536%64%30%

Sample: 4,814 matches

Games handicap

Francesco Passaro −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Oriol Roca BatallaFrancesco Passaro
1Aces3
0Double faults2
62%First serves in65%
58%First-serve points won83%
41%Second-serve points won63%
1/3Break points converted4/19
6/10Service games held8/9
51%Service points won76%
24%Return points won49%
56Total points won82

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. Roca BatallaTourF. Passaro
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held80%76%80%
Breaks of serve28%24%20%
Aces per service game0.320.51
Double faults per game0.150.24
Sets with a tie-break18%17%
Tie-breaks won7/1614/19
Wins in straight sets70%64%
Matches in the sample3948

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Francesco Passaro

Elo over the last year

Oriol Roca BatallaFrancesco Passaro

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. Roca BatallaF. Passaro
Hard court0–014–961%
Clay23–1659%11–1444%

Head to head

O. Roca Batalla 1–2 F. Passaro

  • 13/08/26Winner: Francesco Passaro4:6 1:6
  • 23/06/26Winner: Francesco Passaro6:7 4:6
  • 16/06/26Winner: Oriol Roca Batalla6:4 6:0