Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Rodenas vs Cocola 2:0: result and our tips

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Pedro RodenasATP #633Elo 1464clay 1480
2:0final7:6(3) 7:6(7)
Sebastiano CocolaElo 1458clay 1457

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pedro Rodenas77%
Sebastiano Cocola23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Rodenas54%
2:1 P. Rodenas23%
2:1 S. Cocola11%
2:0 S. Cocola12%

First set

Pedro Rodenas70%
Sebastiano Cocola30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.539%61%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 2,779 matches

Games handicap

Pedro Rodenas −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Pedro RodenasSebastiano Cocola
3Aces0
6Double faults0
64%First serves in57%
69%First-serve points won65%
59%Second-serve points won53%
3/10Break points converted3/5
9/12Service games held9/12
65%Service points won60%
40%Return points won35%
89Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. RodenasTourS. Cocola
Service points won60%62%—
Return points won39%38%—
Service games held73%76%—
Breaks of serve29%24%—
Aces per service game0.29—
Double faults per game0.41—
Sets with a tie-break14%—
Tie-breaks won0/1—
Wins in straight sets100%—
Matches in the sample3—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pedro Rodenas

  • 04/10/26LOlle Wallin#423Challenger Braga · Q16:1 2:6 5:7
  • 17/11/25LStefan Palosi#508Challenger Montemar · Q26:7 5:7
  • 16/11/25WRaul Brancaccio#231Challenger Montemar · Q16:4 6:2
  • 01/01/24LAlastair Gray#292Challenger Oeiras · Q25:7 1:6
  • 31/12/23WTibo Colson#526Challenger Oeiras · Q16:2 6:2
  • 30/10/23LStefan Kozlov#290Challenger Charlottesville · Q23:6 1:6
  • 29/10/23WAlfredo Perez#951Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:0 6:7 6:4
  • 31/10/22LEdan LeshemChallenger Charlottesville · Q16:7 1:6
  • 11/09/22LRyan HarrisonChallenger Cary · Q13:6 4:6

Sebastiano Cocola

Elo over the last year

Pedro RodenasSebastiano Cocola

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. RodenasS. Cocola
Clay1–233%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.