Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Rodenas vs Hassan 0:2: result and our tips

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Pedro RodenasATP #623Elo 1486clay 1501
0:2final4:6 6:7(2)
Benjamin HassanATP #497Elo 1605clay 1623

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pedro Rodenas38%
Benjamin Hassan62%

Elo: P. Rodenas 33% · B. Hassan 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Rodenas21%
2:1 P. Rodenas16%
2:1 B. Hassan22%
2:0 B. Hassan41%

First set

Pedro Rodenas40%
Benjamin Hassan60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.551%49%47%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,790 matches

Games handicap

Benjamin Hassan −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Pedro RodenasBenjamin Hassan
2Aces6
4Double faults2
68%First serves in64%
62%First-serve points won71%
50%Second-serve points won39%
3/8Break points converted4/6
7/11Service games held8/11
58%Service points won60%
40%Return points won42%
74Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. RodenasTourB. Hassan
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won40%38%37%
Service games held72%76%75%
Breaks of serve29%24%21%
Aces per service game0.280.41
Double faults per game0.420.28
Sets with a tie-break21%12%
Tie-breaks won2/310/14
Wins in straight sets67%50%
Matches in the sample650

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pedro Rodenas

Benjamin Hassan

  • 18/10/26WSzymon KielanChallenger Lisbon · Q16:4 6:4
  • 13/10/26LZsombor Piros#103Challenger Maia · R323:6 2:6
  • 12/10/26WRyan Nijboer#383Challenger Maia · Q25:7 7:6 7:5
  • 11/10/26WCarlos Taberner#447Challenger Maia · Q17:6 6:3
  • 05/10/26LRyan Nijboer#383Challenger Braga · Q23:6 3:6
  • 04/10/26WRafael Izquierdo Luque#768Challenger Braga · Q16:3 6:1
  • 28/09/26LZsombor Piros#103Challenger Bari · R326:7 3:6
  • 21/09/26LPol Martin Tiffon#211Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:1 4:6 1:6
  • 07/09/26LSamir Hamza Reguig#723Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:7 2:6
  • 06/09/26WMarsel IlhanChallenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:2 6:2

Elo over the last year

Pedro RodenasBenjamin Hassan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. RodenasB. Hassan
Hard court0–04–1029%
Clay3–350%20–1656%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Pedro Rodenas

Benjamin Hassan