Challenger CaliChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Rodriguez Taverna vs de Dios 2:0: result and our tips

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Santiago Rodriguez TavernaATP #443Elo 1563clay 1570
2:0final6:1 6:1
Felipe de DiosElo 1349clay 1350

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna93%
Felipe de Dios7%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Rodriguez Taverna79%
2:1 S. Rodriguez Taverna14%
2:1 F. de Dios4%
2:0 F. de Dios3%

First set

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna88%
Felipe de Dios12%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes18%
no82%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 65%market (no margin): 53%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.586%14%96%
15.574%26%91%
16.563%38%84%
17.551%49%76%
18.543%57%68%
19.536%65%59%
20.529%71%52%

Sample: 1,300 matches

Games handicap

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna −6.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Santiago Rodriguez TavernaFelipe de Dios
8Aces0
2Double faults3
79%First serves in55%
92%First-serve points won52%
57%Second-serve points won32%
5/9Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held2/7
85%Service points won43%
57%Return points won15%
56Total points won26

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. Rodriguez TavernaTourF. de Dios
Service points won60%62%—
Return points won37%38%—
Service games held73%76%—
Breaks of serve23%24%—
Aces per service game0.34—
Double faults per game0.22—
Sets with a tie-break19%—
Tie-breaks won11/19—
Wins in straight sets37%—
Matches in the sample42—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

  • 12/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#509Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q21:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WNicolas CiancagliniChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:2 6:1
  • 22/09/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#282Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 1:6
  • 21/09/26WFermin Tenti#865Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:1 7:5
  • 20/09/26WNicolas BrunaChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:2
  • 14/09/26LRobert Strombachs#346Challenger Szczecin · Q20:6 2:6
  • 13/09/26WOscar Jose Gutierrez#701Challenger Szczecin · Q16:2 7:6
  • 10/09/26LHenrique Rocha#105Challenger Seville · R164:6 1:6
  • 08/09/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#154Challenger Seville · R321:6 6:3 7:5
  • 07/09/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#409Challenger Seville · Q21:6 6:4 6:2

Felipe de Dios

  • 28/06/26LLucas YunezChallenger Quito · Q11:6 2:6
  • 07/06/26LWilson Leite#689Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Q15:7 7:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Santiago Rodriguez TavernaFelipe de Dios

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. Rodriguez TavernaF. de Dios
Clay19–2345%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.