WTA 125 LisbonRound of 32claybest of three sets

Romero Gormaz vs Rame 2:1: result and our tips

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Leyre Romero GormazWTA #139Elo 1605clay 1623
2:1final4:6 6:2 7:5
Alice RameWTA #287Elo 1473clay 1510

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Romero Gormaz: 8 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: Romero GormazLost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Romero Gormaz won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Rame lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

  • Match Winner: Romero GormazWon70%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rame lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Romero Gormaz: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Romero Gormaz 10 of 20, Rame 8 of 20 (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Leyre Romero Gormaz70%
Alice Rame30%

Elo: L. Romero Gormaz 66% · A. Rame 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Romero Gormaz44%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz23%
2:1 A. Rame15%
2:0 A. Rame18%

First set

Leyre Romero Gormaz61%
Alice Rame39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 48%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%68%
18.566%34%59%
19.559%42%52%
20.552%49%46%
21.547%53%42%
22.542%58%37%
23.538%63%33%

Sample: 1,311 matches

Games handicap

Leyre Romero Gormaz −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 30 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Leyre Romero GormazAlice Rame
1Aces1
3Double faults5
59%First serves in60%
69%First-serve points won57%
47%Second-serve points won38%
7/13Break points converted5/10
10/15Service games held8/15
60%Service points won50%
51%Return points won40%
100Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Romero GormazTourA. Rame
Service points won54%56%53%
Return points won47%44%44%
Service games held61%63%57%
Breaks of serve45%37%39%
Aces per service game0.200.11
Double faults per game0.430.27
Sets with a tie-break10%5%
Tie-breaks won3/121/3
Wins in straight sets65%56%
Matches in the sample4923

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Alice Rame

Elo over the last year

Leyre Romero GormazAlice Rame

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Romero GormazA. Rame
Hard court3–538%0–30%
Clay23–1757%9–1047%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also