Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Roncadelli vs Barrios Vera 0:2: result and our tips

·

Franco RoncadelliATP #265Elo 1627clay 1643
0:2final4:6 2:6
Tomas Barrios VeraATP #132Elo 1754clay 1736

Our tips

Our tip
Barrios Vera to win the first setWon68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Roncadelli lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Barrios Vera won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Barrios Vera: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Franco Roncadelli25%
Tomas Barrios Vera75%

Elo: F. Roncadelli 37% · T. Barrios Vera 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Roncadelli14%
2:1 F. Roncadelli12%
2:1 T. Barrios Vera23%
2:0 T. Barrios Vera51%

First set

Franco Roncadelli32%
Tomas Barrios Vera68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.571%29%77%
18.562%38%69%
19.554%46%60%
20.549%51%53%
21.542%58%48%
22.537%63%41%
23.535%65%37%

Sample: 3,154 matches

Games handicap

Tomas Barrios Vera −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Franco RoncadelliTomas Barrios Vera
0Aces1
0Double faults1
75%First serves in55%
53%First-serve points won68%
56%Second-serve points won68%
1/5Break points converted4/10
5/9Service games held8/9
54%Service points won68%
32%Return points won46%
53Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. RoncadelliTourT. Barrios Vera
Service points won58%62%62%
Return points won44%38%40%
Service games held67%76%77%
Breaks of serve37%24%28%
Aces per service game0.090.25
Double faults per game0.120.17
Sets with a tie-break11%15%
Tie-breaks won8/1512/26
Wins in straight sets58%66%
Matches in the sample5971

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Franco Roncadelli

Tomas Barrios Vera

Elo over the last year

Franco RoncadelliTomas Barrios Vera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. RoncadelliT. Barrios Vera
Hard court0–10%9–853%
Clay33–2458%30–2060%
Grass0–10%2–250%

Head to head

F. Roncadelli 0–1 T. Barrios Vera

  • 13/11/25Winner: Tomas Barrios Vera3:6 3:6