WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Ruggeri vs Yaneva 1:2: result and our tips

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Jennifer RuggeriWTA #252Elo 1469clay 1483
1:2final6:1 6:7(3) 1:6
Elizara YanevaWTA #146Elo 1595clay 1578

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Yaneva: 11 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Ruggeri 12 of 15, Yaneva 14 of 20 (tour average 52%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: YanevaWon60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 60%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ruggeri lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Won49%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ruggeri: 8 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Ruggeri 12 of 15, Yaneva 10 of 20 (tour average 42%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jennifer Ruggeri40%
Elizara Yaneva60%

Elo: J. Ruggeri 37% · E. Yaneva 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Ruggeri26%
2:1 J. Ruggeri17%
2:1 E. Yaneva22%
2:0 E. Yaneva35%

First set

Jennifer Ruggeri47%
Elizara Yaneva53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%45%
21.549%51%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.537%64%31%

Sample: 1,510 matches

Games handicap

Elizara Yaneva −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jennifer RuggeriElizara Yaneva
1Aces0
7Double faults8
61%First serves in61%
47%First-serve points won52%
41%Second-serve points won43%
8/22Break points converted7/9
5/12Service games held6/14
45%Service points won48%
52%Return points won55%
92Total points won97

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. RuggeriTourE. Yaneva
Service points won53%56%53%
Return points won46%44%47%
Service games held57%63%55%
Breaks of serve38%37%45%
Aces per service game0.140.16
Double faults per game0.600.36
Sets with a tie-break5%11%
Tie-breaks won2/23/6
Wins in straight sets17%50%
Matches in the sample1523

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jennifer Ruggeri

Elizara Yaneva

Elo over the last year

Jennifer RuggeriElizara Yaneva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. RuggeriE. Yaneva
Hard court0–10%3–260%
Clay6–843%8–850%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also