Rune vs Altmaier 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Rune won the first set in 3 of the last 5 matches, Altmaier lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: H. Rune 81% · D. Altmaier 19%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 5,230 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 30 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Holger Rune | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 8 |
| 3 | Double faults | 3 |
| 70% | First serves in | 66% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 75% |
| 58% | Second-serve points won | 59% |
| 2/5 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 14/15 | Service games held | 12/14 |
| 74% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 26% |
| 90 | Total points won | 81 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Rune | Tour | D. Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.55 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/2 | 10/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 5 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Holger Rune
- 01/10/26LKyrian Jacquet#76ATP Tokyo · R323:6 1:6
- 18/10/25LUgo Humbert#32ATP Stockholm · SF6:4 2:2
- 17/10/25WTomás Martín Etcheverry#31ATP Stockholm · QF6:7 6:3 6:4
- 16/10/25WMarton Fucsovics#134ATP Stockholm · R166:4 6:4
- 09/10/25LValentin Vacherot#14ATP Shanghai · QF6:2 6:7 4:6
- 07/10/25WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#108ATP Shanghai · R166:4 6:7 6:3
- 05/10/25WUgo Humbert#32ATP Shanghai · R326:4 6:4
- 03/10/25WSebastián Báez#53ATP Shanghai · R647:5 6:4
- 28/09/25LJenson Brooksby#102ATP Tokyo · QF3:6 3:6
- 27/09/25WEthan Quinn#66ATP Tokyo · R166:4 6:2
Daniel Altmaier
- 28/09/26LJie Cui#420ATP Beijing · Q14:6 1:6
- 02/09/26LZachary Svajda#82ATP US Open · R1283:6 1:6 7:6 2:6
- 26/08/26LIgnacio Buse#36ATP Winston Salem · R166:7 5:7
- 25/08/26WFrancisco Comesana#125ATP Winston Salem · R326:1 7:6
- 16/08/26LLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 2:6
- 14/08/26WColeman Wong#101ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 6:3 6:4
- 04/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#19ATP Montreal · R642:6 1:6
- 04/08/26WAleksandar Vukic#115ATP Montreal · R1286:7 7:6 6:4
- 22/07/26LAlex Molcan#84ATP Kitzbuhel · R163:6 6:3 5:7
- 21/07/26WRaphael Collignon#50ATP Kitzbuhel · R326:3 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Rune | D. Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–340% | 7–1532% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 13–1350% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 4–450% |
Head to head
H. Rune 1–0 D. Altmaier
- 02/11/23Winner: Holger Rune6:3 6:3