WTA 125 SamsunRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Ruzic vs Dudeney 1:2: result and our tips

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Antonia RuzicWTA #93Elo 1745hard 1726
1:2final6:3 3:6 4:6
Alicia DudeneyWTA #236Elo 1458hard 1437

Our tips

Our tip
Ruzic to winLost74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 74%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dudeney lost 7 of the last 9 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Antonia Ruzic74%
Alicia Dudeney26%

Elo: A. Ruzic 84% · A. Dudeney 16%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Ruzic51%
2:1 A. Ruzic21%
2:1 A. Dudeney13%
2:0 A. Dudeney15%

First set

Antonia Ruzic68%
Alicia Dudeney32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%72%
18.565%35%63%
19.557%43%55%
20.550%50%48%
21.544%56%43%
22.538%62%38%
23.534%66%34%

Sample: 1,688 matches

Games handicap

Antonia Ruzic −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 22%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.0in · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Antonia RuzicAlicia Dudeney
1Aces3
2Double faults4
72%First serves in84%
57%First-serve points won64%
53%Second-serve points won36%
4/11Break points converted5/11
9/14Service games held10/14
56%Service points won60%
40%Return points won44%
95Total points won100

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. RuzicTourA. Dudeney
Service points won54%56%55%
Return points won43%44%42%
Service games held62%63%62%
Breaks of serve35%37%31%
Aces per service game0.160.22
Double faults per game0.290.39
Sets with a tie-break6%15%
Tie-breaks won2/81/3
Wins in straight sets48%100%
Matches in the sample579

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Antonia Ruzic

Alicia Dudeney

Elo over the last year

Antonia RuzicAlicia Dudeney

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. RuzicA. Dudeney
Hard court19–2049%0–10%
Clay3–633%0–0
Grass5–456%2–625%

Head to head

They have not met yet.