WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Rybakina vs Kudermetova: prediction and tips

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Elena RybakinaWTA #1Elo 2227hard 2242
-:-
Polina KudermetovaWTA #105Elo 1808hard 1785

Our tips

Tip in 8h 26m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Elena Rybakina88%
Polina Kudermetova12%

Elo: E. Rybakina 93% · P. Kudermetova 7%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Rybakina70%
2:1 E. Rybakina19%
2:1 P. Kudermetova5%
2:0 P. Kudermetova6%

First set

Elena Rybakina81%
Polina Kudermetova19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 57%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.582%18%89%
16.571%29%82%
17.561%39%72%
18.551%49%63%
19.543%57%55%
20.535%65%49%
21.532%68%44%

Sample: 959 matches

Games handicap

Elena Rybakina −6.543%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. RybakinaTourP. Kudermetova
Service points won64%56%57%
Return points won42%44%45%
Service games held82%63%67%
Breaks of serve33%37%39%
Aces per service game0.560.29
Double faults per game0.260.48
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won9/1511/19
Wins in straight sets66%63%
Matches in the sample7065

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elena Rybakina

Polina Kudermetova

Elo over the last year

Elena RybakinaPolina Kudermetova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. RybakinaP. Kudermetova
Hard court43–884%17–1357%
Clay10–377%19–968%
Grass3–350%5–271%

Head to head

E. Rybakina 1–0 P. Kudermetova

  • 20/06/23Winner: Elena Rybakina6:4 6:2

Road through the tournament

Elena Rybakina

First match in this tournament.

Polina Kudermetova