Safiullin vs Mochizuki 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Safiullin: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: R. Safiullin 75% · S. Mochizuki 25%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 81% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 72% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 43% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 58% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 31% | 69% | 37% |
Sample: 2,419 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 34%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 20.5in · 17 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Roman Safiullin | Shintaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 2 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 74% | First serves in | 51% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 62% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 39% |
| 4/16 | Break points converted | 1/6 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 4/8 |
| 67% | Service points won | 51% |
| 49% | Return points won | 33% |
| 67 | Total points won | 48 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Safiullin | Tour | S. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.47 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.39 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/24 | 11/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 53 | 61 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Roman Safiullin
- 05/10/26WAlexis Galarneau#184ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:0
- 03/10/26LAndrey Rublev#23ATP Beijing · R162:6 6:3 4:6
- 01/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:2
- 28/09/26LDaniil Medvedev#6ATP Hangzhou · SF5:7 4:6
- 27/09/26WYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Hangzhou · QF6:3 6:3
- 26/09/26WQuentin Halys#48ATP Hangzhou · R165:7 6:3 6:4
- 24/09/26WFajing Sun#303ATP Hangzhou · R326:2 6:0
- 31/08/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP US Open · R1284:6 4:6 4:6
- 24/08/26LHugo Grenier#269ATP Winston Salem · R646:7 6:4 3:6
- 21/08/26LHubert Hurkacz#34Challenger Cancun · QF4:6 3:6
Shintaro Mochizuki
- 05/10/26WTaro Daniel#177ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 6:2 6:2
- 28/09/26LJaime Faria#60ATP Tokyo · Q12:6 4:6
- 24/09/26LMartin Damm Jr#104ATP Chengdu · R321:6 4:6
- 23/09/26WPavel Kotov#187ATP Chengdu · Q27:5 6:3
- 22/09/26WLinang XiaoATP Chengdu · Q17:5 4:6 7:5
- 15/09/26LPavel Kotov#187Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:7 1:6
- 31/08/26LJakub Menšík#15ATP US Open · R1281:6 4:6 5:7
- 28/08/26LFrancesco Passaro#229ATP US Open · Q34:6 2:6
- 26/08/26WBraden Shick#211ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:1
- 25/08/26WDaniel Milavsky#315ATP US Open · Q17:6 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Safiullin | S. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–850% | 20–2643% |
| Clay | 20–483% | 0–30% |
| Grass | 9–469% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Roman Safiullin
- 05/10/26WAlexis Galarneau#184ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:0
Shintaro Mochizuki
- 05/10/26WTaro Daniel#177ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 6:2 6:2