Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Saitoh vs Palan 2:0: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Keisuke Saitoh68%
Dominik Palan32%
Elo: K. Saitoh 47% · D. Palan 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Saitoh45%
2:1 K. Saitoh23%
2:1 D. Palan14%
2:0 D. Palan19%
First set
Keisuke Saitoh63%
Dominik Palan37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 51% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 4,911 matches
Games handicap
Keisuke Saitoh −3.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes42%
tour average 34%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.0in · 23 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Keisuke Saitoh | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 10 |
| 2 | Double faults | 3 |
| 69% | First serves in | 54% |
| 74% | First-serve points won | 77% |
| 67% | Second-serve points won | 55% |
| 2/2 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 10/11 | Service games held | 9/11 |
| 72% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 28% |
| 69 | Total points won | 61 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Saitoh | Tour | D. Palan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.29 | 0.63 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.46 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 0% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/0 | 4/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 5 | 30 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Keisuke Saitoh
- 05/10/26WYusuke Takahashi#727Challenger Wuning 3 · Q24:6 6:3 6:2
- 04/10/26WZicong WangChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:0
- 29/09/26LMattia Bellucci#86Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:2
- 02/11/25LKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Matsuyama · Q15:7 7:5 4:6
- 14/07/25LAndres Martin#338Challenger Granby · Q11:6 5:7
- 07/07/25LQuinn Vandecasteele#473Challenger Newport · Q24:6 6:7
- 06/07/25WHans Hach VerdugoChallenger Newport · Q16:2 7:6
- 01/06/25LYibing Wu#113Challenger Tyler · Q11:6 3:6
- 25/05/25LHyeon Chung#558Challenger Little Rock · Q10:6 2:6
Dominik Palan
- 28/09/26LTerence Atmane#99Challenger Jingshan · Q11:6 4:6
- 15/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#869Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R327:5 2:6 5:7
- 07/09/26LHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:4 1:6 2:6
- 31/08/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q21:6 4:6
- 30/08/26WJi Sung Nam#827Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:4 6:3
- 10/08/26LSemen Pankin#432Challenger Astana · R321:6 4:6
- 23/07/26LYanki Erel#300Challenger Segovia · R166:3 6:7 2:6
- 21/07/26WMax Basing#248Challenger Segovia · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 20/07/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Segovia · Q26:7 6:4 7:5
- 19/07/26WBernardo Munk MesaChallenger Segovia · Q16:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Keisuke SaitohDominik Palan
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Saitoh | D. Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–260% | 12–1643% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 0–20% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Keisuke Saitoh
- 04/10/26WZicong WangChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:0
- 05/10/26WYusuke Takahashi#727Challenger Wuning 3 · Q24:6 6:3 6:2
Dominik Palan
First match in this tournament.