WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Sakkari vs Vekic 2:0: result and our tips

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Maria SakkariWTA #35Elo 1872hard 1865
2:0final6:4 6:2
Donna VekicWTA #36Elo 1793hard 1745

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 25.5 games in 7 of their 8 head-to-head matches

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in 7 of their 8 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won31%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 18.5 games in 5 of their 8 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maria Sakkari60%
Donna Vekic40%

Elo: M. Sakkari 67% · D. Vekic 33%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Sakkari36%
2:1 M. Sakkari21%
2:1 D. Vekic17%
2:0 D. Vekic26%

First set

Maria Sakkari55%
Donna Vekic45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,400 matches

Games handicap

Maria Sakkari −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maria SakkariDonna Vekic
4Aces1
4Double faults6
82%First serves in83%
60%First-serve points won42%
44%Second-serve points won50%
6/16Break points converted3/3
6/9Service games held3/9
57%Service points won44%
56%Return points won43%
74Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. SakkariTourD. Vekic
Service points won59%56%59%
Return points won42%44%43%
Service games held69%63%73%
Breaks of serve33%37%33%
Aces per service game0.300.31
Double faults per game0.220.37
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won4/116/12
Wins in straight sets74%76%
Matches in the sample4452

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maria Sakkari

Donna Vekic

Elo over the last year

Maria SakkariDonna Vekic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. SakkariD. Vekic
Hard court18–1358%11–1542%
Clay3–538%12–571%
Grass2–340%6–367%

Head to head

M. Sakkari 3–5 D. Vekic

  • 19/08/25Winner: Donna Vekic2:6 3:6
  • 25/04/24Winner: Maria Sakkari6:3 6:2
  • 24/06/23Winner: Donna Vekic4:6 6:7
  • 10/02/23Winner: Maria Sakkari6:3 7:6
  • 15/01/20Winner: Donna Vekic6:2 5:7 1:6
  • 29/09/18Winner: Donna Vekic1:6 4:6
  • 07/03/18Winner: Maria Sakkari6:4 6:2
  • 16/06/17Winner: Donna Vekic2:6 3:6

See also