Samrej vs Honda 2:1: result and our tips
·
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Samrej 73% · N. Honda 27%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 4,824 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 31 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Kasidit Samrej | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Aces | 12 |
| 8 | Double faults | 5 |
| 59% | First serves in | 49% |
| 83% | First-serve points won | 74% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 57% |
| 3/7 | Break points converted | 2/6 |
| 14/16 | Service games held | 12/15 |
| 69% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 32% |
| 93 | Total points won | 85 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Samrej | Tour | N. Honda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/15 | 3/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 83% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 23 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kasidit Samrej
- 08/10/26LFajing Sun#303Challenger Wuning 3 · R164:6 5:7
- 06/10/26WEnzo Aguiard#439Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:3
- 09/09/26LYuta Shimizu#393Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R164:6 4:6
- 08/09/26WSidharth Rawat#664Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:2 6:7 6:2
- 06/09/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Zhangjiagang · F3:6 1:6
- 05/09/26WChun Hsin Tseng#225Challenger Zhangjiagang · SF6:3 7:6
- 04/09/26WEnzo Aguiard#439Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF6:4 7:6
- 03/09/26WBernard Tomic#185Challenger Zhangjiagang · R167:5 7:6
- 01/09/26WHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:1 7:6
- 13/08/26LSergey Fomin#294Challenger Astana · R161:6 4:6
Naoya Honda
- 04/10/26LKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 4:6
- 28/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Jingshan · Q16:7 2:6
- 17/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#278Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R163:6 4:6
- 16/09/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#124Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R322:6 7:6
- 14/09/26WJesse Flores#820Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 6:4
- 13/09/26WHao DuanChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:2 6:3
- 01/06/26LAlexander Donski#531Challenger Centurion 2 · Q26:2 3:6 4:6
- 31/05/26WAndreas ScottChallenger Centurion 2 · Q13:6 7:6 6:3
- 25/05/26LGuillaume Dalmasso#639Challenger Centurion · Q26:3 3:6 4:6
- 24/05/26WDillon BecklesChallenger Centurion · Q16:1 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Samrej | N. Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1557% | 12–1152% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.