Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Sanchez Jover vs Forti 2:1: result and our tips

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Carlos Sanchez JoverATP #335Elo 1622clay 1618
2:1final6:4 3:6 6:4
Francesco FortiATP #336Elo 1670clay 1667

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carlos Sanchez Jover47%
Francesco Forti53%

Elo: C. Sanchez Jover 43% · F. Forti 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Sanchez Jover27%
2:1 C. Sanchez Jover19%
2:1 F. Forti21%
2:0 F. Forti33%

First set

Carlos Sanchez Jover47%
Francesco Forti53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%69%
19.561%40%60%
20.554%46%53%
21.548%52%48%
22.543%57%41%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%64%35%

Sample: 4,402 matches

Games handicap

Francesco Forti −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Carlos Sanchez JoverFrancesco Forti
5Aces8
4Double faults5
63%First serves in59%
67%First-serve points won75%
47%Second-serve points won44%
4/11Break points converted3/11
11/14Service games held11/15
60%Service points won62%
38%Return points won40%
97Total points won100

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. Sanchez JoverTourF. Forti
Service points won58%62%63%
Return points won43%38%39%
Service games held68%76%77%
Breaks of serve34%24%25%
Aces per service game0.160.42
Double faults per game0.210.18
Sets with a tie-break16%19%
Tie-breaks won10/1812/22
Wins in straight sets56%62%
Matches in the sample4950

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Francesco Forti

Elo over the last year

Carlos Sanchez JoverFrancesco Forti

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. Sanchez JoverF. Forti
Hard court0–10%2–529%
Clay27–2156%27–1663%

Head to head

They have not met yet.