Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Sanchez Quilez vs Leote Prata 2:1: result and our tips

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Alejo Sanchez QuilezATP #375Elo 1583clay 1569
2:1final4:6 6:4 6:2
Vasco Leote PrataElo 1411clay 1455

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alejo Sanchez Quilez91%
Vasco Leote Prata9%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Sanchez Quilez74%
2:1 A. Sanchez Quilez16%
2:1 V. Leote Prata5%
2:0 V. Leote Prata4%

First set

Alejo Sanchez Quilez85%
Vasco Leote Prata15%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no78%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.578%22%91%
16.568%32%84%
17.557%43%76%
18.548%52%68%
19.540%60%59%
20.533%67%52%
21.530%71%47%

Sample: 1,370 matches

Games handicap

Alejo Sanchez Quilez −6.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 18.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Alejo Sanchez QuilezVasco Leote Prata
3Aces1
2Double faults5
52%First serves in54%
68%First-serve points won64%
48%Second-serve points won41%
6/16Break points converted4/11
10/14Service games held8/14
58%Service points won53%
47%Return points won42%
105Total points won94

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. Sanchez QuilezTourV. Leote Prata
Service points won59%62%—
Return points won41%38%—
Service games held69%76%—
Breaks of serve31%24%—
Aces per service game0.18—
Double faults per game0.16—
Sets with a tie-break11%—
Tie-breaks won4/11—
Wins in straight sets71%—
Matches in the sample47—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Vasco Leote Prata

  • 27/07/25LHenry Searle#228Challenger Porto · Q16:7 2:6
  • 28/07/24LRenzo OlivoChallenger Porto · Q12:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Alejo Sanchez QuilezVasco Leote Prata

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. Sanchez QuilezV. Leote Prata
Hard court9–853%0–0
Clay15–1550%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.