WTA 125 LisbonQualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Santos vs Lukas 0:2: result and our tips

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Ana Filipa SantosElo 1316clay 1350
0:2final2:6 2:6
Tena LukasWTA #407Elo 1337clay 1345

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ana Filipa Santos4%
Tena Lukas96%

Elo: A. Santos 51% · T. Lukas 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Santos2%
2:1 A. Santos2%
2:1 T. Lukas11%
2:0 T. Lukas85%

First set

Ana Filipa Santos8%
Tena Lukas92%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes13%
no87%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 16.5 · 52%market (no margin): 46%

The 16.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.585%15%97%
14.574%26%93%
15.561%39%87%
16.549%52%78%
17.537%63%69%
18.529%71%60%
19.523%77%52%

Sample: 439 matches

Games handicap

Tena Lukas −7.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes8%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 16.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Ana Filipa SantosTena Lukas
0Aces6
3Double faults8
65%First serves in59%
50%First-serve points won70%
28%Second-serve points won39%
2/8Break points converted6/10
2/8Service games held6/8
42%Service points won57%
43%Return points won58%
51Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. SantosTourT. Lukas
Service points won—56%54%
Return points won—44%44%
Service games held—63%62%
Breaks of serve—37%36%
Aces per service game—0.24
Double faults per game—0.56
Sets with a tie-break—14%
Tie-breaks won—0/2
Wins in straight sets—50%
Matches in the sample—6

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ana Filipa Santos

Tena Lukas

Elo over the last year

Ana Filipa SantosTena Lukas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. SantosT. Lukas
Hard court0–10%0–0
Clay0–02–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.