WTA NingboWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sasnovich vs Bondar 2:0: result and our tips

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Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #122Elo 1760hard 1749
2:0final7:5 6:1
Anna BondarWTA #75Elo 1765hard 1717

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sasnovich: 9 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sasnovich: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aliaksandra Sasnovich62%
Anna Bondar39%

Elo: A. Sasnovich 55% · A. Bondar 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Sasnovich37%
2:1 A. Sasnovich22%
2:1 A. Bondar17%
2:0 A. Bondar24%

First set

Aliaksandra Sasnovich56%
Anna Bondar44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,393 matches

Games handicap

Aliaksandra Sasnovich −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 23%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Aliaksandra SasnovichAnna Bondar
1Aces1
3Double faults2
56%First serves in61%
85%First-serve points won61%
62%Second-serve points won43%
4/7Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held6/10
75%Service points won54%
47%Return points won25%
69Total points won50

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. SasnovichTourA. Bondar
Service points won57%56%58%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held66%63%69%
Breaks of serve41%37%32%
Aces per service game0.280.30
Double faults per game0.310.22
Sets with a tie-break9%18%
Tie-breaks won3/1215/28
Wins in straight sets77%58%
Matches in the sample5764

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Anna Bondar

Elo over the last year

Aliaksandra SasnovichAnna Bondar

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. SasnovichA. Bondar
Hard court21–1755%18–1949%
Clay8–657%14–864%
Grass2–340%1–420%

Head to head

A. Sasnovich 2–0 A. Bondar

  • 26/01/25Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich6:3 6:3
  • 07/01/21Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich6:2 6:3