Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Schoen vs Nedic 2:0: result and our tips

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Patrick SchoenATP #368Elo 1641clay 1641
2:0final6:1 7:6(1)
Andrej NedicATP #244Elo 1733clay 1731

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Patrick Schoen47%
Andrej Nedic53%

Elo: P. Schoen 37% · A. Nedic 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Schoen28%
2:1 P. Schoen19%
2:1 A. Nedic20%
2:0 A. Nedic33%

First set

Patrick Schoen48%
Andrej Nedic52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.560%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,362 matches

Games handicap

Andrej Nedic −0.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Patrick SchoenAndrej Nedic
1Aces1
2Double faults1
45%First serves in46%
61%First-serve points won55%
53%Second-serve points won36%
6/13Break points converted3/5
6/9Service games held4/10
56%Service points won45%
55%Return points won44%
80Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. SchoenTourA. Nedic
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won40%38%43%
Service games held78%76%72%
Breaks of serve30%24%36%
Aces per service game0.390.18
Double faults per game0.190.21
Sets with a tie-break0%10%
Tie-breaks won0/07/11
Wins in straight sets75%71%
Matches in the sample646

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Patrick Schoen

  • 05/10/26WFilip Misolic#471Challenger Braga · Q26:1 6:2
  • 04/10/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#681Challenger Braga · Q16:1 6:3
  • 01/09/26LFacundo Mena#197Challenger Porto · R324:6 2:6
  • 31/08/26WMatyas Fuele#592Challenger Porto · Q26:4 2:6 6:4
  • 30/08/26WBoris AriasChallenger Porto · Q16:2 6:3
  • 19/07/26LMili Poljicak#286Challenger Zug · Q15:7 5:7
  • 10/08/24LEmilio Nava#122Challenger Cary · Q11:4

Andrej Nedic

  • 04/09/26LJohan Nikles#399Challenger Como · QF6:4 2:6 1:6
  • 03/09/26WKilian Feldbausch#270Challenger Como · R167:6 6:3
  • 01/09/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#135Challenger Como · R322:6 6:3 7:6
  • 31/08/26WLaurent Lokoli#348Challenger Como · Q26:3 6:3
  • 30/08/26WFilippo Francesco GarberoChallenger Como · Q16:0 6:0
  • 24/08/26LJuan Estevez#360Challenger Augsburg · R326:2 4:6 3:6
  • 13/08/26LCarlos Taberner#361Challenger Hamburg · R167:6 4:6 0:3
  • 11/08/26WErgi Kirkin#656Challenger Hamburg · R323:6 6:4 6:4
  • 28/07/26LHynek Barton#288Challenger Liberec · R326:7 2:6
  • 22/07/26LTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Tampere · R166:4 2:6 0:6

Elo over the last year

Patrick SchoenAndrej Nedic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. SchoenA. Nedic
Clay4–267%28–1861%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Patrick Schoen

  • 04/10/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#681Challenger Braga · Q16:1 6:3
  • 05/10/26WFilip Misolic#471Challenger Braga · Q26:1 6:2

Andrej Nedic

First match in this tournament.