Schoen vs Rocha 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Schoen won 2-0 in 5 of the last 10 matches, Rocha lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 15 matches (tour average 33%)
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 20.5Lost57%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Schoen: 7 matches in a row under 20.5 games; Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Schoen 8 of 10, Rocha 8 of 15 (tour average 48%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 43%
Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Schoen 6 of 10, Rocha 5 of 15 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: P. Schoen 84% · F. Rocha 16%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 77% | 23% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 67% | 33% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 57% | 43% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 49% | 52% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 43% | 57% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 38% | 63% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 33% | 67% | 40% |
Sample: 1,980 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 19.5out · 36 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Patrick Schoen | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 6 |
| 4 | Double faults | 5 |
| 65% | First serves in | 54% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 77% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 51% |
| 3/8 | Break points converted | 4/6 |
| 13/17 | Service games held | 14/17 |
| 65% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 35% |
| 105 | Total points won | 108 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P. Schoen | Tour | F. Rocha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 5% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/1 | 3/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 10 | 15 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Patrick Schoen
- 12/10/26LMichael Vrbensky#668Challenger Maia · Q23:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WGuilherme ValdoleirosChallenger Maia · Q16:2 6:1
- 08/10/26LMax Alcala Gurri#132Challenger Braga · R161:6 0:6
- 07/10/26WAndrej Nedic#237Challenger Braga · R326:1 7:6
- 05/10/26WFilip Misolic#495Challenger Braga · Q26:1 6:2
- 04/10/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#710Challenger Braga · Q16:1 6:3
- 01/09/26LFacundo Mena#198Challenger Porto · R324:6 2:6
- 31/08/26WMatyas Fuele#622Challenger Porto · Q26:4 2:6 6:4
- 30/08/26WBoris AriasChallenger Porto · Q16:2 6:3
- 19/07/26LMili Poljicak#270Challenger Zug · Q15:7 5:7
Francisco Rocha
- 12/10/26LPol Martin Tiffon#211Challenger Maia · R324:6 2:6
- 04/10/26LOleksii Krutykh#439Challenger Braga · Q17:6 2:6 2:6
- 27/09/26LLui Maxted#380Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:4 3:6 1:6
- 01/09/26LTiago Pereira#316Challenger Porto · R324:6 5:7
- 18/07/26LGonzalo Bueno#199ATP Estoril · Q14:6 4:6
- 10/05/26LGarrett Johns#458Challenger Oeiras 4 · Q13:6 6:7
- 12/04/26LFelix Gill#227Challenger Oeiras 3 · Q14:6 2:6
- 25/01/26LMathys Erhard#354Challenger Oeiras 2 · Q15:7 6:7
- 18/01/26LLiam Broady#233Challenger Oeiras · Q13:6 2:6
- 26/11/25LAndres Santamarta Roig#774Challenger Maia · R324:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P. Schoen | F. Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 3–538% |
| Clay | 6–460% | 0–70% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.