Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Sciahbasi vs Siniakov 0:1: result and our tips

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Matteo SciahbasiATP #872Elo 1396clay 1399
0:1retired1:6 0:3
Daniel SiniakovATP #496Elo 1494clay 1501

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matteo Sciahbasi32%
Daniel Siniakov68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Sciahbasi18%
2:1 M. Sciahbasi14%
2:1 D. Siniakov23%
2:0 D. Siniakov45%

First set

Matteo Sciahbasi37%
Daniel Siniakov63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 57%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%68%
19.564%36%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%61%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,233 matches

Games handicap

Daniel Siniakov −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Matteo SciahbasiDaniel Siniakov
—Aces—
1Double faults0
76%First serves in78%
26%First-serve points won64%
0%Second-serve points won43%
1/1Break points converted5/7
0/5Service games held4/5
20%Service points won59%
41%Return points won80%
18Total points won39

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. SciahbasiTourD. Siniakov
Service points won—62%60%
Return points won—38%41%
Service games held—76%69%
Breaks of serve—24%29%
Aces per service game—0.26
Double faults per game—0.35
Sets with a tie-break—20%
Tie-breaks won—4/10
Wins in straight sets—56%
Matches in the sample—21

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matteo Sciahbasi

  • 28/09/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#371Challenger Bari · R325:7 3:6
  • 05/07/26LGiovanni Oradini#667Challenger Trieste · Q13:6 3:6

Daniel Siniakov

  • 13/10/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#314Challenger Catania · R323:6 2:6
  • 12/10/26WJakub VrbaChallenger Catania · Q27:5 3:6 7:6
  • 11/10/26WPaolo Gabriele MarinoChallenger Catania · Q16:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26LYanaki Milev#535Challenger Palermo · Q27:5 3:6 4:6
  • 04/10/26WDaniele Rapagnetta#611Challenger Palermo · Q11:6 7:5 6:2
  • 08/09/26LVitaliy Sachko#175Challenger Tulln · R324:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26WOleg Prihodko#442Challenger Tulln · Q26:2 6:4
  • 06/09/26WNiels Visker#414Challenger Tulln · Q17:6 6:3
  • 01/09/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#285Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R326:7 6:3 6:7
  • 23/08/26LKai Wehnelt#631Challenger Augsburg · Q16:7 6:7

Elo over the last year

Matteo SciahbasiDaniel Siniakov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. SciahbasiD. Siniakov
Hard court0–00–10%
Clay0–20%9–1145%

Head to head

They have not met yet.