Seggerman vs Shiraishi 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Shiraishi lost 8 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Seggerman 11 of 20, Shiraishi 10 of 18 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: R. Seggerman 80% · H. Shiraishi 20%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 77% | 23% | 72% |
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 36% |
Sample: 3,809 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 34%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.0out · 39 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Ryan Seggerman | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Aces | 3 |
| 4 | Double faults | 2 |
| 63% | First serves in | 65% |
| 89% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 71% | Second-serve points won | 69% |
| 1/7 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 17/18 | Service games held | 17/18 |
| 83% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 18% |
| 123 | Total points won | 107 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Seggerman | Tour | H. Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.96 | 0.24 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 27% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/19 | 0/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 29% | |
| Matches in the sample | 28 | 19 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ryan Seggerman
- 05/10/26WMaxim Zhukov#730Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:7 6:1 6:2
- 04/10/26WNaoki TajimaChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:4
- 28/09/26LAleksandar Vukic#115Challenger Jingshan · Q14:6 4:6
- 17/09/26LMitchell Krueger#340Challenger Tiburon · R166:4 1:6 6:7
- 15/09/26WAidan Mayo#341Challenger Tiburon · R321:6 6:4 6:4
- 14/09/26WAlex Rybakov#707Challenger Tiburon · Q27:6 6:3
- 13/09/26WAndrew Fenty#466Challenger Tiburon · Q16:7 7:5 6:2
- 22/08/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#291ATP Winston Salem · Q16:2 6:7 3:6
- 17/08/26LGauthier Onclin#168Challenger Cancun · Q13:6 4:6
- 06/07/26LPatrick Brady#715Challenger Nottingham 3 · Q26:7 3:6
Hikaru Shiraishi
- 28/09/26LAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · Q12:6 2:6
- 15/09/26LJake Delaney#357Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 13/04/26LRenta Tokuda#799Challenger Busan · Q22:6 3:6
- 12/04/26WDong Ju Kim#748Challenger Busan · Q17:5 6:3
- 09/02/26LOmar Jasika#422Challenger Brisbane 2 · R326:4 2:6 6:7
- 03/02/26LBlake Ellis#462Challenger Brisbane · R326:7 6:7
- 18/01/26LTim Handel#690Challenger Phan Thiet · Q16:3 3:6 4:6
- 12/01/26LNeil Oberleitner#745Challenger Nonthaburi 2 · Q26:7 7:5 3:6
- 11/01/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Nonthaburi 2 · Q13:6 6:6
- 06/01/26LKasidit Samrej#397Challenger Nonthaburi · R323:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Seggerman | H. Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–654% | 7–1237% |
| Clay | 9–469% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Ryan Seggerman
- 04/10/26WNaoki TajimaChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:4
- 05/10/26WMaxim Zhukov#730Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:7 6:1 6:2
Hikaru Shiraishi
First match in this tournament.