WTA 125 LisbonQualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Serban vs van Emst 2:1: result and our tips

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Raluca Georgiana SerbanWTA #409Elo 1399clay 1402
2:1final6:2 4:6 6:4
Sarah van EmstWTA #527Elo 1452clay 1476

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Raluca Georgiana Serban52%
Sarah van Emst48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Serban32%
2:1 R. Serban20%
2:1 S. van Emst19%
2:0 S. van Emst29%

First set

Raluca Georgiana Serban51%
Sarah van Emst49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.559%42%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%62%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,370 matches

Games handicap

Raluca Georgiana Serban −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Raluca Georgiana SerbanSarah van Emst
0Aces1
7Double faults3
66%First serves in67%
66%First-serve points won67%
55%Second-serve points won32%
5/14Break points converted3/10
11/14Service games held9/14
62%Service points won55%
45%Return points won38%
94Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. SerbanTourS. van Emst
Service points won54%56%—
Return points won43%44%—
Service games held58%63%—
Breaks of serve33%37%—
Aces per service game0.16—
Double faults per game0.43—
Sets with a tie-break18%—
Tie-breaks won1/4—
Wins in straight sets0%—
Matches in the sample9—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Raluca Georgiana Serban

  • 14/09/26LLea Boskovic#334WTA 125 Ljubljana · Q17:6 6:7 2:6
  • 08/09/26LFrancesca Jones#104WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R324:6 3:6
  • 21/07/26LNoemi Basiletti#241WTA 125 Palermo · R324:6 1:6
  • 19/07/26LAmarissa Kiara Toth#447WTA 125 Palermo · Q21:6 0:1
  • 18/07/26WAnastasia Bertacchi#812WTA 125 Palermo · Q15:7 6:4 6:0
  • 15/06/26LMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA 125 Brescia · R321:6 6:7
  • 04/05/26LMaria Sara Popa#476WTA 125 Istanbul · Q25:7 6:3 4:6
  • 17/02/26LManon Leonard#328WTA 125 Les Sables d Olonne · R326:7 4:6
  • 31/01/26LLeyre Romero Gormaz#139WTA Cluj Napoca · Q12:6 6:2 3:6
  • 09/09/25LDiletta Cherubini#397WTA 125 Huzhou · R325:7 1:6

Sarah van Emst

  • 08/06/25LElla Seidel#193WTA S-Hertogenbosch · Q23:6 7:5 6:7

Elo over the last year

Raluca Georgiana SerbanSarah van Emst

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. SerbanS. van Emst
Hard court0–20%0–0
Clay1–614%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.