Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Seyboth Wild vs Soto 2:0: result and our tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #136Elo 1823clay 1830
2:0final6:3 6:4
Matias SotoATP #252Elo 1641clay 1653

Our tips

Our tip
Seyboth Wild to win 2-0Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Seyboth Wild won 2-0 in 13 of the last 20 matches, Soto lost 0-2 in 5 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild83%
Matias Soto17%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 74% · M. Soto 27%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild61%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild22%
2:1 M. Soto8%
2:0 M. Soto9%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild75%
Matias Soto25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.582%18%85%
17.573%27%77%
18.563%38%69%
19.553%47%60%
20.546%54%53%
21.541%59%48%
22.535%65%41%

Sample: 2,059 matches

Games handicap

Thiago Seyboth Wild −5.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Thiago Seyboth WildMatias Soto
12Aces3
2Double faults3
52%First serves in56%
86%First-serve points won66%
54%Second-serve points won48%
3/7Break points converted1/2
9/10Service games held6/9
70%Service points won58%
42%Return points won30%
64Total points won52

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourM. Soto
Service points won66%62%60%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held83%76%73%
Breaks of serve28%24%27%
Aces per service game0.510.38
Double faults per game0.200.36
Sets with a tie-break11%14%
Tie-breaks won6/1310/15
Wins in straight sets79%62%
Matches in the sample5147

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Matias Soto

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildMatias Soto

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildM. Soto
Hard court2–340%0–20%
Clay31–1567%26–1958%

Head to head

They have not met yet.