Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sheehy vs McHugh 0:2: result and our tips

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Joshua SheehyATP #772Elo 1339hard 1355
0:2final2:6 2:6
Aidan McHughATP #476Elo 1482hard 1463

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 60%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Sheehy 13 of 20, McHugh 5 of 7 (tour average 54%); McHugh: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: McHughWon68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sheehy lost 8 of the last 10 matches

  • 1st Set Winner: McHughWon63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    McHugh: 3 matches in a row winning the first set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 42%

McHugh: 4 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Sheehy 9 of 20, McHugh 5 of 7 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Joshua Sheehy29%
Aidan McHugh71%

Elo: J. Sheehy 35% · A. McHugh 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Sheehy17%
2:1 J. Sheehy13%
2:1 A. McHugh22%
2:0 A. McHugh48%

First set

Joshua Sheehy35%
Aidan McHugh66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 54%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.576%24%71%
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 4,540 matches

Games handicap

Aidan McHugh −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Joshua SheehyAidan McHugh
3Aces2
1Double faults1
60%First serves in63%
60%First-serve points won69%
35%Second-serve points won67%
0/3Break points converted4/5
4/8Service games held8/8
50%Service points won68%
32%Return points won50%
39Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. SheehyTourA. McHugh
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held80%76%77%
Breaks of serve19%24%24%
Aces per service game0.670.25
Double faults per game0.420.20
Sets with a tie-break23%32%
Tie-breaks won8/153/6
Wins in straight sets64%25%
Matches in the sample287

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joshua Sheehy

  • 04/10/26LIvan Marrero Curbelo#370Challenger Villena · Q12:6 6:2 6:7
  • 13/09/26LPatrick Zahraj#511Challenger Rennes · Q15:7 3:6
  • 24/08/26LEvan Zhu#479Challenger Kingston 2 · Q25:7 0:6
  • 23/08/26WLuis BrittoChallenger Kingston 2 · Q16:2
  • 02/08/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#291Challenger Lexington · Q13:6 6:2 6:7
  • 27/07/26LRenta Tokuda#799Challenger Vancouver · Q16:4 6:7 5:7
  • 19/07/26LEdward Winter#350Challenger Winnipeg · Q16:4 3:6 0:6
  • 13/07/26LChristian Langmo#534Challenger Lincoln · Q23:6 7:6 5:7
  • 12/07/26WKelly GieseChallenger Lincoln · Q16:3 6:2
  • 25/05/26LEnzo Aguiard#439Challenger Little Rock · Q26:2 3:6 4:6

Aidan McHugh

  • 05/01/26LAlexander Ritschard#563Challenger Nottingham · Q27:6 2:6 2:6
  • 04/01/26WJoshua Sheehy#772Challenger Nottingham · Q16:4 6:7 6:3
  • 12/11/25LMurphy Cassone#273Challenger Champaign · R166:1 6:7 3:6
  • 12/11/25WJeremy ZhangChallenger Champaign · R326:7 6:3 7:5
  • 21/10/25LSamir Banerjee#564Challenger Sioux Falls · R323:6 4:6
  • 20/10/25WDan Martin#646Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:6 0:6 7:6
  • 19/10/25WNoah SchachterChallenger Sioux Falls · Q16:3 6:0
  • 13/10/25LKeegan Smith#202Challenger Lincoln (NE) · Q26:7 6:7
  • 12/10/25WKyle SeeligChallenger Lincoln (NE) · Q16:2 7:6
  • 14/09/25LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#266Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:3 6:7 6:7

Elo over the last year

Joshua SheehyAidan McHugh

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. SheehyA. McHugh
Hard court10–1343%4–357%
Clay1–420%0–0

Head to head

J. Sheehy 0–1 A. McHugh

  • 04/01/26Winner: Aidan McHugh4:6 7:6 3:6