Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Shick vs Debru 1:2: result and our tips

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Braden ShickATP #208Elo 1675hard 1668
1:2final6:2 2:6 2:6
Gabriel DebruATP #673Elo 1695hard 1652

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Braden Shick49%
Gabriel Debru52%

Elo: B. Shick 52% · G. Debru 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. Shick29%
2:1 B. Shick19%
2:1 G. Debru20%
2:0 G. Debru32%

First set

Braden Shick49%
Gabriel Debru52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,227 matches

Games handicap

Gabriel Debru −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 24 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Braden ShickGabriel Debru
2Aces8
1Double faults3
63%First serves in57%
59%First-serve points won67%
52%Second-serve points won64%
2/5Break points converted4/6
8/12Service games held10/12
56%Service points won66%
34%Return points won44%
70Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. ShickTourG. Debru
Service points won61%62%63%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held73%76%76%
Breaks of serve26%24%29%
Aces per service game0.400.39
Double faults per game0.270.31
Sets with a tie-break17%6%
Tie-breaks won9/141/1
Wins in straight sets47%20%
Matches in the sample346

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Braden Shick

Gabriel Debru

  • 02/08/26WConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#490Challenger Samsun · F3:6 7:5 6:4
  • 01/08/26WPaul Inchauspe#583Challenger Samsun · SF6:4 6:2
  • 31/07/26WKoki Matsuda#475Challenger Samsun · QF4:6 7:6 6:3
  • 29/07/26WFlorent Bax#293Challenger Samsun · R166:4 3:6 6:2
  • 27/07/26WGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Samsun · R324:6 6:2 6:2
  • 28/03/26LAlexis Galarneau#182ATP Houston · Q12:6 3:6
  • 31/01/25LGustavo Heide#114Challenger Piracicaba · R163:6 3:6
  • 29/01/25WRenzo OlivoChallenger Piracicaba · R327:6 6:4
  • 15/01/25LGonzalo Bueno#199Challenger Buenos Aires · R166:0 2:6 3:6
  • 13/01/25WAndrea Pellegrino#144Challenger Buenos Aires · R326:3 6:3

Elo over the last year

Braden ShickGabriel Debru

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. ShickG. Debru
Hard court17–1259%5–0100%
Clay2–250%0–10%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.