ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets

Shimabukuro vs Kecmanovic 0:2: result and our tips

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Sho ShimabukuroATP #109Elo 1774hard 1733
0:2final2:6 4:6
Miomir KecmanovicATP #61Elo 1858hard 1814

Our tips

Our tip
Kecmanovic to winWon69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shimabukuro lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sho Shimabukuro31%
Miomir Kecmanovic69%

Elo: S. Shimabukuro 39% · M. Kecmanovic 61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Shimabukuro18%
2:1 S. Shimabukuro13%
2:1 M. Kecmanovic23%
2:0 M. Kecmanovic46%

First set

Sho Shimabukuro36%
Miomir Kecmanovic64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%68%
20.565%35%59%
21.558%42%54%
22.551%49%45%
23.543%57%39%
24.539%61%38%
25.537%64%34%

Sample: 4,766 matches

Games handicap

Miomir Kecmanovic −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes47%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sho ShimabukuroMiomir Kecmanovic
6Aces4
—Double faults—
64%First serves in75%
59%First-serve points won81%
52%Second-serve points won43%
0/1Break points converted3/9
6/9Service games held9/9
56%Service points won71%
29%Return points won44%
52Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. ShimabukuroTourM. Kecmanovic
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held79%76%79%
Breaks of serve24%24%21%
Aces per service game0.540.38
Double faults per game0.260.20
Sets with a tie-break16%18%
Tie-breaks won17/2714/27
Wins in straight sets69%56%
Matches in the sample7355

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sho Shimabukuro

Miomir Kecmanovic

Elo over the last year

Sho ShimabukuroMiomir Kecmanovic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. ShimabukuroM. Kecmanovic
Hard court34–2459%15–2043%
Clay1–325%8–753%
Grass7–464%2–340%

Head to head

S. Shimabukuro 0–2 M. Kecmanovic

  • 23/08/26Winner: Miomir Kecmanovic4:6 3:6
  • 10/02/26Winner: Miomir Kecmanovic7:6 3:6 6:7