Shimizu vs Purcell 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Shimizu 33% · M. Purcell 67%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 5,096 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 22.5in · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Yuta Shimizu | Max Purcell | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 11 |
| 2 | Double faults | 1 |
| 58% | First serves in | 58% |
| 60% | First-serve points won | 86% |
| 36% | Second-serve points won | 57% |
| 0/4 | Break points converted | 4/5 |
| 4/8 | Service games held | 8/8 |
| 50% | Service points won | 74% |
| 26% | Return points won | 50% |
| 39 | Total points won | 63 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Shimizu | Tour | M. Purcell | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.65 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/25 | 0/2 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 86% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 11 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yuta Shimizu
- 01/10/26LBernard Tomic#180Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 2:6 6:7
- 29/09/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#133Challenger Jingshan · R327:6 6:2
- 15/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#339Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R322:6 6:2 5:7
- 12/09/26LArthur Weber#403Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · SF4:6 4:6
- 11/09/26WHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF5:7 7:5 7:6
- 09/09/26WKasidit Samrej#382Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:4 6:4
- 08/09/26WAditya Balsekar#880Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:1 6:1
- 18/08/26LAnton Matusevich#307Challenger Roehampton · R324:6 5:7
- 23/07/26LJohannus Monday#333Challenger Winnipeg · R166:4 3:6 3:6
- 21/07/26WLiam Broady#233Challenger Winnipeg · R326:2 7:5
Max Purcell
- 06/10/26LFilip Peliwo#641Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 1:6
- 04/10/26WJulien de CuyperChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:4
- 12/09/26LIlia Simakin#143Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · SF3:6 6:2 2:6
- 11/09/26WCruz Hewitt#324Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF7:5 6:3
- 09/09/26WBlake Ellis#445Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:4 6:4
- 08/09/26WRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#263Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:3 6:4
- 27/08/26LAndres Andrade#224Challenger Kingston 2 · QF3:6 3:6
- 26/08/26WGarrett Johns#458Challenger Kingston 2 · R166:2 6:2
- 24/08/26WIgor Marcondes#266Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:4 6:2
- 19/08/26LHarold Mayot#202Challenger Kingston · R166:3 3:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Shimizu | M. Purcell | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 26–2353% | 7–464% |
| Clay | 2–167% | 0–0 |
Head to head
Y. Shimizu 1–0 M. Purcell
- 02/10/22Winner: Yuta Shimizu6:3 6:4