WTA 125 MallorcaQualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Shinikova vs Kucmova 1:2: result and our tips

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Isabella ShinikovaWTA #415Elo 1433clay 1397
1:2final1:6 7:6(1) 3:6
Aneta KucmovaWTA #550Elo 1457clay 1461

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: KucmovaWon67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shinikova lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Isabella Shinikova33%
Aneta Kucmova67%

Elo: I. Shinikova 41% · A. Kucmova 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Shinikova21%
2:1 I. Shinikova16%
2:1 A. Kucmova22%
2:0 A. Kucmova40%

First set

Isabella Shinikova42%
Aneta Kucmova58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%48%45%
21.548%52%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.535%65%31%

Sample: 1,384 matches

Games handicap

Aneta Kucmova −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 29 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Isabella ShinikovaAneta Kucmova
0Aces3
7Double faults5
63%First serves in69%
56%First-serve points won59%
36%Second-serve points won55%
5/9Break points converted8/13
5/13Service games held10/15
48%Service points won58%
42%Return points won52%
79Total points won97

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. ShinikovaTourA. Kucmova
Service points won55%56%—
Return points won44%44%—
Service games held63%63%—
Breaks of serve36%37%—
Aces per service game0.22—
Double faults per game0.42—
Sets with a tie-break4%—
Tie-breaks won0/1—
Wins in straight sets100%—
Matches in the sample11—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Isabella Shinikova

  • 26/09/26LElena Micic#276WTA 125 Adana · Q12:6 1:6
  • 21/09/26LAysegul Mert#945WTA 125 Ankara · R326:4 1:6 3:6
  • 13/09/26LDiletta Cherubini#397WTA 125 Valencia · Q16:4 4:6 4:6
  • 26/07/26LMiriana Tona#374WTA 125 Targu Mures · Q12:6 3:6
  • 19/07/26LNoemi Basiletti#241WTA 125 Palermo · Q25:7 0:6
  • 18/07/26WRasheeda McAdoo#463WTA 125 Palermo · Q16:4 6:4
  • 14/07/26LAlexandra Shubladze#132WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · R325:7 6:7
  • 13/07/26WYujia Huang#416WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q26:4 6:2
  • 12/07/26WDoga TurkmenWTA 125 Istanbul 2 · Q16:0 6:1
  • 04/05/26LTereza Martincova#316WTA 125 Istanbul · Q23:6 6:3 4:6

Aneta Kucmova

  • 21/09/26LJessica Pieri#315WTA 125 Tolentino · Q20:6 3:6
  • 20/09/26WSilvia Dalle MolleWTA 125 Tolentino · Q16:1 6:3
  • 09/10/25LSara Bejlek#30WTA 125 Mallorca · R162:6 2:6
  • 06/10/25WCristina Diaz Adrover#790WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:1 1:6 6:2
  • 05/10/25LCarole Monnet#210WTA 125 Mallorca · Q26:4 2:6 0:6
  • 04/10/25WTea KovacevicWTA 125 Mallorca · Q16:2 6:4
  • 14/09/25LNoma Noha Akugue#126WTA 125 Tolentino · Q16:7 4:6
  • 09/09/25LHanne Vandewinkel#84WTA 125 Ljubljana · R325:7 7:5 4:6
  • 08/09/25WSilvia Ambrosio#683WTA 125 Ljubljana · Q16:2 4:6 6:2
  • 28/04/18LMarina MelnikovaWTA Prague · Q12:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Isabella ShinikovaAneta Kucmova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. ShinikovaA. Kucmova
Hard court2–433%0–0
Clay2–433%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.