WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Siniaková vs Samsonova 1:2: result and our tips

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Kateřina SiniakováWTA #87Elo 1912hard 1891
1:2final1:6 7:5 2:6
Liudmila SamsonovaWTA #43Elo 1891hard 1863

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Samsonova: 11 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Siniakova 6 of 20, Samsonova 14 of 20 (tour average 32%); Over 24.5 games in 2 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kateřina Siniaková48%
Liudmila Samsonova52%

Elo: K. Siniaková 54% · L. Samsonova 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Siniaková30%
2:1 K. Siniaková19%
2:1 L. Samsonova19%
2:0 L. Samsonova32%

First set

Kateřina Siniaková49%
Liudmila Samsonova51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,262 matches

Games handicap

Liudmila Samsonova −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 27 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kateřina SiniakováLiudmila Samsonova
1Aces1
4Double faults6
81%First serves in72%
63%First-serve points won75%
46%Second-serve points won46%
2/6Break points converted5/8
8/13Service games held12/14
60%Service points won67%
33%Return points won40%
69Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. SiniakováTourL. Samsonova
Service points won57%56%57%
Return points won44%44%42%
Service games held67%63%68%
Breaks of serve36%37%33%
Aces per service game0.180.25
Double faults per game0.420.43
Sets with a tie-break9%11%
Tie-breaks won4/85/12
Wins in straight sets78%67%
Matches in the sample3645

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kateřina Siniaková

Liudmila Samsonova

Elo over the last year

Kateřina SiniakováLiudmila Samsonova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. SiniakováL. Samsonova
Hard court10–1148%15–1550%
Clay4–450%3–538%
Grass4–357%3–443%

Head to head

K. Siniaková 2–1 L. Samsonova

  • 21/06/26Winner: Liudmila Samsonova3:6 5:7
  • 25/06/24Winner: Kateřina Siniaková6:3 6:7 6:3
  • 29/06/23Winner: Kateřina Siniaková7:5 4:6 6:2

See also