WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Siniaková vs Stearns 1:1: result and our tips

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Kateřina SiniakováWTA #86Elo 1900hard 1878
1:1retired6:4 0:6 4:0
Peyton StearnsWTA #37Elo 1805hard 1778

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kateřina Siniaková56%
Peyton Stearns44%

Elo: K. Siniaková 64% · P. Stearns 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Siniaková33%
2:1 K. Siniaková20%
2:1 P. Stearns18%
2:0 P. Stearns29%

First set

Kateřina Siniaková52%
Peyton Stearns48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,392 matches

Games handicap

Kateřina Siniaková −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Match stats

Kateřina SiniakováPeyton Stearns
3Aces1
5Double faults1
77%First serves in87%
63%First-serve points won59%
47%Second-serve points won50%
3/6Break points converted3/5
7/10Service games held7/10
59%Service points won58%
42%Return points won41%
64Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. SiniakováTourP. Stearns
Service points won57%56%57%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held67%63%68%
Breaks of serve35%37%35%
Aces per service game0.180.35
Double faults per game0.410.34
Sets with a tie-break9%10%
Tie-breaks won4/87/11
Wins in straight sets78%76%
Matches in the sample3748

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kateřina Siniaková

Peyton Stearns

Elo over the last year

Kateřina SiniakováPeyton Stearns

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. SiniakováP. Stearns
Hard court10–1245%18–1555%
Clay4–450%6–650%
Grass4–357%1–233%

Head to head

K. Siniaková 0–1 P. Stearns

  • 29/05/23Winner: Peyton Stearns6:7 2:6