ATP Lyon250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Sonego vs Kouame 0:2: result and our tips

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Lorenzo SonegoATP #89Elo 1832hard 1817
0:2final6:7(2) 4:6
Moise KouameATP #194Elo 1637hard 1617

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Sonego 14 of 20, Kouame 15 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Won57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Sonego 12 of 20, Kouame 16 of 20 (tour average 62%)

  • Match Winner: SonegoLost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kouame lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 39%

Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Sonego 11 of 20, Kouame 14 of 20 (tour average 46%); Kouame: 4 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lorenzo Sonego61%
Moise Kouame39%

Elo: L. Sonego 76% · M. Kouame 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Sonego38%
2:1 L. Sonego22%
2:1 M. Kouame18%
2:0 M. Kouame22%

First set

Lorenzo Sonego57%
Moise Kouame43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.567%33%60%
21.561%40%54%
22.553%47%46%
23.546%54%40%
24.542%58%38%
25.540%60%35%

Sample: 5,814 matches

Games handicap

Lorenzo Sonego −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Lorenzo SonegoMoise Kouame
5Aces3
2Double faults4
75%First serves in67%
75%First-serve points won78%
41%Second-serve points won52%
0/5Break points converted1/2
10/11Service games held11/11
66%Service points won70%
31%Return points won34%
70Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. SonegoTourM. Kouame
Service points won66%62%61%
Return points won34%38%39%
Service games held82%76%75%
Breaks of serve17%24%24%
Aces per service game0.560.41
Double faults per game0.150.41
Sets with a tie-break20%10%
Tie-breaks won11/223/9
Wins in straight sets50%63%
Matches in the sample4237

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lorenzo Sonego

Moise Kouame

Elo over the last year

Lorenzo SonegoMoise Kouame

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. SonegoM. Kouame
Hard court11–1248%14–1450%
Clay3–827%2–722%
Grass4–450%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also